Jan Hrabec vs Radomir Vavrecka 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Oct 8Finished

Jan Hrabec

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1412116116––––

Radomir Vavrecka

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%

Graded at full time

Radomir Vavrecka to win

59.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Hrabec above · Radomir Vavrecka below

Set 1 · 14-12

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-6

Point 60 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 59.7%

60 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:54

59.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.0pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Vavrecka

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Hrabec 1554 vs Vavrecka 1583

Vavrecka

Wrong

both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hrabec 60% vs Vavrecka 40%

Hrabec

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hrabec 60% vs Vavrecka 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Hrabec -2 · Vavrecka -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Vavrecka) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vavrecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHrabec 2.25 / Vavrecka 1.571

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Vavrecka)-4.0pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13259639

Hrabec2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 11 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog43% won 19 of 44

Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Vavrecka1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 30) · back after a break

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite54% won 45 of 84

Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricHrabecVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 247 vs 165 / 31755.5%52.1%137 / 247 vs 165 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vavrecka

Hrabec 2.25/Vavrecka 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

59.7%

Vavrecka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Hrabec won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Hrabec10