TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Josef Cabak vs Radomir Vavrecka 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611911114117611
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Cabak to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Cabak above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 87 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Josef Cabak at 58.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Josef Cabak 5–4 Radomir Vavrecka Radomir Vavrecka has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5658.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cabak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabak 1629 vs Vavrecka 1582
Cabak
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabak 20% vs Vavrecka 40%
Vavrecka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabak 50% vs Vavrecka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabak -4 · Vavrecka -2
Cabak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Cabak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabak form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabak 1.615 / Vavrecka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cabak)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216713
Cabak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 44 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Vavrecka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 40 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeCabak5wins
AwayVavrecka4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderCabak leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabak100%3 of 3
AwayVavrecka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabak3Vavrecka6n = 9Vavrecka took 6 of 9
S2Cabak5Vavrecka4n = 9Cabak took 5 of 9
S3Cabak6Vavrecka3n = 9Cabak took 6 of 9
S4Cabak3Vavrecka5n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Cabak2Vavrecka1n = 3Cabak took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricCabakVavreckaC − VBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.938.3−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabakVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 190 vs 164 / 31553.7%52.1%102 / 190 vs 164 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CabakCabak 1.61/Vavrecka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 7 · 06:30J. Cabak3851111113R. Vavrecka35117891
LJul 29 · 08:30J. Cabak4171111932R. Vavrecka47116811113
WJul 1 · 13:00J. Cabak3741111113R. Vavrecka33114991
WJul 1 · 12:30J. Cabak491111106113R. Vavrecka4367121172
LJun 22 · 06:00J. Cabak33781171R. Vavrecka4211119113
LApr 10 · 12:00J. Cabak145540R. Vavrecka331111113
LMar 27 · 10:30J. Cabak345121161R. Vavrecka4111145113
WMar 27 · 07:30J. Cabak3711114113R. Vavrecka29661161
WMar 20 · 09:00J. Cabak49119117113R. Vavrecka4271151182
J. Cabak10
LSep 30 · 11:30R. Skacelik1.8011911113J. Cabak1.91711881LSep 30 · 10:00J. Cabak1.44116913102V. Adamczyk2.636111111123LSep 25 · 09:30R. Skacelik2.00612612123J. Cabak1.7311101110102LSep 25 · 08:00J. Cabak1.73121111992R. Skacelik2.00148911113WSep 25 · 07:30D. Machander2.006411131J. Cabak1.7311118153WSep 25 · 06:00J. Cabak1.40111110113D. Oborny2.75691251WSep 10 · 09:30J. Cabak2.001111410123R. Skacelik1.73651112102WSep 10 · 08:30J. Cabak2.0071111153D. Machander1.731177131LSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113WSep 10 · 06:00T. Petrek1.677970J. Cabak2.101111113
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 30 · 11:00V. Adamczyk1.531111123R. Vavrecka2.3876100LSep 30 · 10:30R. Vavrecka2.00611281R. Skacelik1.7311711113WSep 30 · 09:30R. Skacelik1.7311117482R. Vavrecka2.00581111113LSep 30 · 08:30R. Vavrecka2.007760V. Adamczyk1.731111113WSep 30 · 07:00R. Vavrecka1.615111310113J. Schwan2.20114111262WSep 30 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.6771411382R. Vavrecka2.101112511113WSep 26 · 20:59D. Machander2.10471181R. Vavrecka1.6711118113LSep 26 · 20:30R. Vavrecka1.913750A. Walek1.801111113LSep 26 · 19:00R. Vavrecka2.63119881D. Langer1.4481111113WSep 26 · 18:00D. Machander2.2519119782R. Vavrecka1.571791111113
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