TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Rotislav Hasmanda vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119117––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:24 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Rotislav Hasmanda @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 59.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 34–16 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 16 of their 50 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:2459.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 2.6pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hasmanda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
34-16 in 50
Hasmanda
Correct
gap of 18 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1375 vs Dolezal 1379
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Dolezal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 50% vs Dolezal 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda -2 · Dolezal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Hasmanda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 1.615 / Dolezal 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hasmanda)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13259207
Hasmanda1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 100 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 76 of 95
Dolezal2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 33 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda7wins
AwayDolezal3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHasmanda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda80%4 of 5
AwayDolezal40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S2Hasmanda6Dolezal4n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S3Hasmanda6Dolezal4n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S4Hasmanda4Dolezal3n = 7Hasmanda took 4 of 7
S5Hasmanda3Dolezal1n = 4Hasmanda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaDolezalH − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.5+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 758 vs 397 / 79249.1%50.1%372 / 758 vs 397 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaHasmanda 1.61/Dolezal 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.3%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Rotislav Hasmanda @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–0
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda40111107113V. Dolezal4489111152
LSep 3 · 00:30R. Hasmanda4111810121V. Dolezal4361112143
WAug 30 · 22:00R. Hasmanda4291111113V. Dolezal30119731
WAug 28 · 00:30R. Hasmanda521181111113V. Dolezal4281113732
WJul 7 · 08:58R. Hasmanda49711119113V. Dolezal4011681142
WJul 7 · 08:30R. Hasmanda4181111113V. Dolezal29115491
LJun 8 · 13:30R. Hasmanda2688100V. Dolezal341111123
WJun 8 · 12:30R. Hasmanda331111113V. Dolezal259970
WJun 4 · 01:30R. Hasmanda331111113V. Dolezal216780
LMay 26 · 01:00R. Hasmanda48117111182V. Dolezal47131166113
R. Hasmanda10
WOct 8 · 12:59R. Hasmanda1.441211113V. Dolezal2.6310960LOct 8 · 11:00R. Hasmanda2.008121051M. Stefek1.73111012113LOct 8 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.171112113R. Hasmanda4.5091060WOct 6 · 13:28R. Hasmanda1.61111112113V. Hruska Sr2.20551461WOct 6 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.54101213113L. Mikyska2.2512101161WOct 6 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.6111139123V. Hruska Sr2.2031111101WOct 6 · 10:00P. Sudek2.385159111R. Hasmanda1.53111311133LOct 5 · 13:00R. Hasmanda1.4411331192M. Chalupnicek2.63911113113LOct 5 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.57711481V. Hruska Sr2.2511411113LOct 5 · 11:00R. Hasmanda2.00137111172M. Stefek1.731111136113
V. Dolezal10
LOct 8 · 12:59R. Hasmanda1.441211113V. Dolezal2.6310960LOct 8 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.635124101A. Svoboda1.44111011123WOct 8 · 10:30M. Stefek2.2571131162V. Dolezal1.57113116113WOct 8 · 09:00V. Hruska Sr1.83111111662V. Dolezal1.83951311113LOct 8 · 08:00V. Pecka1.571111113V. Dolezal2.257830WOct 8 · 07:00L. Havel1.7311912852V. Dolezal2.006111011113LOct 8 · 06:30V. Dolezal1.5731070V. Hruska Sr2.251112113LOct 5 · 13:00T. Nohejl2.00712711113V. Dolezal1.73111011892LOct 5 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111611113V. Dolezal2.20711221LOct 5 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.63491181A. Svoboda1.4411113113
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