TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Dolezal vs Vaclav Hruska Sr 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111012711––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:14 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 60.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 27–16 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:1460.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
27-16 in 43
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1379 vs Hruska Sr 1312
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Hruska Sr 20%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Hruska Sr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -3 · Hruska Sr -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Dolezal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hruska Sr form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.571 / Hruska Sr 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Dolezal)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13258135
Dolezal1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 140 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it83% 105 of 126
Hruska Sr2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 84 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal5wins
AwayHruska Sr5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal25%1 of 4
AwayHruska Sr33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal4Hruska Sr6n = 10Hruska Sr took 6 of 10
S2Dolezal6Hruska Sr4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S3Dolezal5Hruska Sr5n = 10split evenly
S4Dolezal1Hruska Sr7n = 8Hruska Sr took 7 of 8
S5Dolezal4Hruska Sr1n = 5Dolezal took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalHruska SrD − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.840.7+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalHruska SrBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 788 vs 477 / 101050.1%47.2%395 / 788 vs 477 / 1010Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.57/Hruska Sr 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hruska Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 06:30V. Dolezal2031070V. Hruska Sr341112113
WSep 30 · 20:30V. Dolezal50511149113V. Hruska Sr47115121182
LMay 29 · 12:58V. Dolezal4312910121V. Hruska Sr47101112143
LMay 29 · 10:00V. Dolezal34119681V. Hruska Sr3521111113
WMay 29 · 09:00V. Dolezal48811117113V. Hruska Sr4411771182
WMay 29 · 06:30V. Dolezal46911114113V. Hruska Sr4811891192
WMay 12 · 10:00V. Dolezal331111113V. Hruska Sr177460
WMar 26 · 11:30V. Dolezal517111111113V. Hruska Sr4311741382
LMar 14 · 08:30V. Dolezal39129991V. Hruska Sr43101111113
LJan 14 · 21:30V. Dolezal44101151172V. Hruska Sr49126119113
V. Dolezal10
WOct 8 · 07:00L. Havel1.7311912852V. Dolezal2.006111011113LOct 5 · 13:00T. Nohejl2.00712711113V. Dolezal1.73111011892LOct 5 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111611113V. Dolezal2.20711221LOct 5 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.63491181A. Svoboda1.4411113113WOct 5 · 10:30T. Nohejl1.6711891182V. Dolezal2.10311118113WOct 5 · 08:58V. Dolezal1.91111011113T. Nohejl1.80312781LOct 5 · 08:30L. Havel1.6731111113V. Dolezal2.10119771WOct 5 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.008111111113T. Nohejl1.7311613362LOct 5 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.4081111123V. Dolezal2.751184101WOct 4 · 02:58M. Smrcek1.367114111V. Dolezal3.0011011133
V. Hruska Sr10
LOct 8 · 07:30V. Hruska Sr2.383950V. Pecka1.531111113LOct 6 · 17:30M. Barta2.101411113V. Hruska Sr1.6712980LOct 6 · 16:30M. Syroha1.6111114113V. Hruska Sr2.20861131LOct 6 · 15:30V. Hruska Sr1.61111110962M. Barta2.20861211113WOct 6 · 14:30J. Framberk1.4041020V. Hruska Sr2.751112113LOct 6 · 13:28R. Hasmanda1.61111112113V. Hruska Sr2.20551461WOct 6 · 12:00P. Sudek2.20129611102V. Hruska Sr1.611011117123LOct 6 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.6111139123V. Hruska Sr2.2031111101WOct 6 · 10:30V. Hruska Sr2.10121199113L. Mikyska1.67105111182LOct 5 · 13:30M. Stefek1.4314911113V. Hruska Sr2.651211571
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