TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Sudek vs Vaclav Hruska Sr 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12109116111171012
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:54 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Sudek above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 59.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Petr Sudek 1–14 Vaclav Hruska Sr Petr Sudek has won 1 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5459.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 2.6pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hruska Sr
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-14 in 15
Hruska Sr
Correct
gap of 13 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sudek 1308 vs Hruska Sr 1318
Hruska Sr
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sudek 80% vs Hruska Sr 60%
Sudek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sudek 60% vs Hruska Sr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sudek +1 · Hruska Sr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Hruska Sr) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sudek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSudek 2.20 / Hruska Sr 1.615
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hruska Sr)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248020
Sudek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 7 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Hruska Sr1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 90 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it71% 65 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSudek0wins
AwayHruska Sr10wins
Hruska Sr leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSudek0%0 of 3
AwayHruska Sr100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sudek3Hruska Sr7n = 10Hruska Sr took 7 of 10
S2Sudek2Hruska Sr8n = 10Hruska Sr took 8 of 10
S3Sudek1Hruska Sr9n = 10Hruska Sr took 9 of 10
S4Sudek0Hruska Sr6n = 6Hruska Sr took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSudekHruska SrS − HBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.138.0−8.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSudekHruska SrBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 155 vs 475 / 100749%47.2%76 / 155 vs 475 / 1007Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
Hruska SrSudek 2.20/Hruska Sr 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Hruska Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hruska Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 11 · 10:30P. Sudek153570V. Hruska Sr331111113
LApr 27 · 10:00P. Sudek2912980V. Hruska Sr361411113
LApr 16 · 07:30P. Sudek387911111V. Hruska Sr3811113133
LMar 26 · 13:58P. Sudek2581070V. Hruska Sr341112113
LMar 26 · 13:30P. Sudek36811981V. Hruska Sr4111811113
LMar 4 · 14:30P. Sudek4391112111V. Hruska Sr4711914133
LMar 4 · 11:30P. Sudek28116471V. Hruska Sr3741111113
LNov 19 · 09:30P. Sudek341181051V. Hruska Sr3951112113
LNov 12 · 12:30P. Sudek28118361V. Hruska Sr4291111113
LOct 22 · 13:06P. Sudek155730V. Hruska Sr331111113
P. Sudek10
LOct 6 · 13:02P. Sudek1.80411811112L. Mikyska1.91116119133WOct 6 · 11:30L. Mikyska1.831271161P. Sudek1.8314116113LOct 6 · 10:00P. Sudek2.385159111R. Hasmanda1.53111311133WSep 22 · 09:29J. Pleskot1.91118100P. Sudek1.801311123WSep 22 · 08:30L. Sulava1.73491291P. Sudek2.00111110113WSep 22 · 07:30P. Sudek2.00117811113J. Pleskot1.7391111682LSep 22 · 06:30T. Nohejl1.5781111113P. Sudek2.25116991LSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720LSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123
V. Hruska Sr10
LOct 6 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.6111139123V. Hruska Sr2.2031111101WOct 6 · 10:30V. Hruska Sr2.10121199113L. Mikyska1.67105111182LOct 5 · 13:30M. Stefek1.4314911113V. Hruska Sr2.651211571WOct 5 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.57711481V. Hruska Sr2.2511411113WOct 5 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr2.00118133113M. Chalupnicek1.73811111162LOct 5 · 10:30M. Stefek1.4081211113V. Hruska Sr2.751110481LOct 4 · 13:30V. Hruska Sr1.671111115102M. Barta2.10913711123WOct 4 · 12:30L. Havel1.739970V. Hruska Sr2.001111113WOct 4 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr1.531121011193M. Barta2.38411125172WOct 4 · 10:30L. Havrda2.63811761V. Hruska Sr1.4411811113
Upcoming Matches
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V. Hruska Sr
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