TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Sudek vs Rotislav Hasmanda 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51115139111113––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:45 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Sudek above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 88 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 61.2%
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Sudek 2–3 Rotislav Hasmanda Petr Sudek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4561.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hasmanda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sudek 1311 vs Hasmanda 1360
Hasmanda
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sudek 60% vs Hasmanda 40%
Sudek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sudek 60% vs Hasmanda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sudek +3 · Hasmanda -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Hasmanda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSudek 2.375 / Hasmanda 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hasmanda)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13247876
Sudek2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 7 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Hasmanda1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 96 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSudek2wins
AwayHasmanda3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderHasmanda leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSudek66.7%2 of 3
AwayHasmandan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sudek3Hasmanda2n = 5Sudek took 3 of 5
S2Sudek2Hasmanda3n = 5Hasmanda took 3 of 5
S3Sudek1Hasmanda4n = 5Hasmanda took 4 of 5
S4Sudek2Hasmanda1n = 3Sudek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSudekHasmandaS − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.040.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSudekHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 171 vs 373 / 76046.8%49.1%80 / 171 vs 373 / 760Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaSudek 2.38/Hasmanda 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WFeb 18 · 08:00P. Sudek331111113R. Hasmanda196670
LJan 28 · 14:30P. Sudek2271050R. Hasmanda341112113
LJan 28 · 12:00P. Sudek35711891R. Hasmanda4211911113
LJan 13 · 13:00P. Sudek4811991542R. Hasmanda526111113113
WDec 19 · 13:30P. Sudek57138911163R. Hasmanda531111116142
P. Sudek10
WSep 22 · 09:29J. Pleskot1.91118100P. Sudek1.801311123WSep 22 · 08:30L. Sulava1.73491291P. Sudek2.00111110113WSep 22 · 07:30P. Sudek2.00117811113J. Pleskot1.7391111682LSep 22 · 06:30T. Nohejl1.5781111113P. Sudek2.25116991LSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720LSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123WSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113
R. Hasmanda10
LOct 5 · 13:00R. Hasmanda1.4411331192M. Chalupnicek2.63911113113LOct 5 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.57711481V. Hruska Sr2.2511411113LOct 5 · 11:00R. Hasmanda2.00137111172M. Stefek1.731111136113WOct 5 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.6311114792R. Hasmanda1.44791111113WSep 24 · 13:29R. Hasmanda1.731113113V. Hruska Sr2.0061160LSep 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.5761111792V. Hruska Sr2.25117711113WSep 24 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.731111113J. Strnad2.003660WSep 24 · 10:00V. Pecka1.6111591162R. Hasmanda2.20611117113WSep 22 · 13:00R. Hasmanda1.501111123Z. Drabek2.5025100LSep 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.4451360V. Hruska Sr2.631115113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.