TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Rotislav Hasmanda vs Vaclav Hruska Sr 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114411811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:21 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 67 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 60.1%
67 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 33–22 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 22 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2160.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hasmanda
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
33-22 in 55
Hasmanda
Wrong
gap of 11 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1385 vs Hruska Sr 1315
Hasmanda
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Hruska Sr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 60% vs Hruska Sr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda -1 · Hruska Sr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Hasmanda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hruska Sr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 1.571 / Hruska Sr 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hasmanda)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243064
Hasmanda1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 95 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 92
Hruska Sr2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 82 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda5wins
AwayHruska Sr5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda71.4%5 of 7
AwayHruska Sr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda7Hruska Sr3n = 10Hasmanda took 7 of 10
S2Hasmanda7Hruska Sr3n = 10Hasmanda took 7 of 10
S3Hasmanda5Hruska Sr5n = 10split evenly
S4Hasmanda1Hruska Sr3n = 4Hruska Sr took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaHruska SrHasmanda − Hruska SrBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.732.3+2.4per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaHruska SrBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 758 vs 475 / 100849.2%47.1%373 / 758 vs 475 / 1008Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaHasmanda 1.57/Hruska Sr 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hruska Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 13:29R. Hasmanda351113113V. Hruska Sr2361160
LSep 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda4461111792V. Hruska Sr47117711113
LSep 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2451360V. Hruska Sr371115113
WJun 18 · 11:30R. Hasmanda331111113V. Hruska Sr167360
WJun 3 · 11:30R. Hasmanda361114113V. Hruska Sr2441280
WMay 13 · 16:30R. Hasmanda3911116113V. Hruska Sr27561151
LApr 20 · 12:30R. Hasmanda27107100V. Hruska Sr351211123
LMar 23 · 14:26R. Hasmanda33118771V. Hruska Sr3961111113
LMar 23 · 13:30R. Hasmanda43111154122V. Hruska Sr53981111143
WMar 18 · 14:30R. Hasmanda331111113V. Hruska Sr227960
R. Hasmanda10
LOct 5 · 13:00R. Hasmanda1.4411331192M. Chalupnicek2.63911113113LOct 5 · 11:00R. Hasmanda2.00137111172M. Stefek1.731111136113WOct 5 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.6311114792R. Hasmanda1.44791111113WSep 24 · 13:29R. Hasmanda1.731113113V. Hruska Sr2.0061160LSep 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.5761111792V. Hruska Sr2.25117711113WSep 24 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.731111113J. Strnad2.003660WSep 24 · 10:00V. Pecka1.6111591162R. Hasmanda2.20611117113WSep 22 · 13:00R. Hasmanda1.501111123Z. Drabek2.5025100LSep 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.4451360V. Hruska Sr2.631115113WSep 22 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.571111123Z. Drabek2.2537100
V. Hruska Sr10
WOct 5 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr2.00118133113M. Chalupnicek1.73811111162LOct 5 · 10:30M. Stefek1.4081211113V. Hruska Sr2.751110481LOct 4 · 13:30V. Hruska Sr1.671111115102M. Barta2.10913711123WOct 4 · 12:30L. Havel1.739970V. Hruska Sr2.001111113WOct 4 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr1.531121011193M. Barta2.38411125172WOct 4 · 10:30L. Havrda2.63811761V. Hruska Sr1.4411811113LOct 3 · 20:58M. Syroha1.531111113V. Hruska Sr2.389790LSep 24 · 13:29R. Hasmanda1.731113113V. Hruska Sr2.0061160WSep 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.5761111792V. Hruska Sr2.25117711113WSep 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.4451360V. Hruska Sr2.631115113
Upcoming Matches
R. Hasmanda
V. Hruska Sr
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.