TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michael Sedlacek vs Tadeas Zika 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191412––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:54 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMichael Sedlacek to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMichael Sedlacek above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 61 set 3, 14-12 · our read held Michael Sedlacek at 65.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Michael Sedlacek 76–40 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 40 of their 116 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5465.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
76-40 in 116
Sedlacek
Correct
gap of 36 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1921 vs Zika 1888
Sedlacek
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 80% vs Zika 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 70% vs Zika 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -1 · Zika +3
Zika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Sedlacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.444 / Zika 2.625
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sedlacek)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13259150
Sedlacek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 103 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it77% 67 of 87
Zika2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog46% won 298 of 646
Down 0–1, comes back27% 85 of 321
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek7wins
AwayZika3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek100%6 of 6
AwayZika75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek6Zika4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek4Zika6n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek6Zika4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S4Sedlacek3Zika3n = 6split evenly
S5Sedlacek4Zika1n = 5Sedlacek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekZikaS − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.436.1+3.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 496 vs 817 / 175862.1%46.5%308 / 496 vs 817 / 1758Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.44/Zika 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 11:30M. Sedlacek45511711113T. Zika3511411632
LSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek4281111842T. Zika44114711113
WSep 2 · 12:59M. Sedlacek351311113T. Zika2511770
LSep 2 · 11:30M. Sedlacek2046100T. Zika341111123
WSep 1 · 10:00M. Sedlacek331111113T. Zika224990
WAug 18 · 11:30M. Sedlacek521110119113T. Zika4361291152
WAug 12 · 11:30M. Sedlacek47117116123T. Zika48711911102
WAug 10 · 11:00M. Sedlacek4211911113T. Zika31911291
LAug 5 · 12:30M. Sedlacek28107110T. Zika361211133
WAug 3 · 11:30M. Sedlacek50119811113T. Zika4371111682
M. Sedlacek10
LOct 8 · 11:30J. Szotkowski1.9114126113M. Sedlacek1.8012101161WOct 8 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.671112113R. Revay2.1061090WOct 6 · 13:28M. Sedlacek1.4415119113T. Zika2.631371181WOct 6 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.83117911113J. Szotkowski1.8351111762WOct 6 · 11:30T. Zika2.5011411632M. Sedlacek1.50511711113WOct 6 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.5381111113R. Polasek2.38114941LSep 3 · 13:28T. Dousek1.801111123M. Sedlacek1.9146100LSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek1.4081111842T. Zika2.75114711113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek2.0061181192M. Sedlacek1.73118113113
T. Zika10
WOct 8 · 11:00R. Revay1.80513471T. Zika1.91111111113WOct 8 · 10:30T. Zika2.101111123J. Szotkowski1.6798100WOct 7 · 13:30T. Dousek1.851061121T. Zika1.8512117113LOct 7 · 12:30M. Navedla2.2051511113T. Zika1.611113521WOct 7 · 11:30T. Zika2.2511116113T. Dousek1.57871171WOct 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.83781171T. Zika1.8311117113WOct 7 · 09:30T. Zika1.731111153R. Polasek2.0078130LOct 6 · 13:28M. Sedlacek1.4415119113T. Zika2.631371181LOct 6 · 11:30T. Zika2.5011411632M. Sedlacek1.50511711113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek1.4081111842T. Zika2.75114711113
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