Roman Bihun vs Danylo Kasian 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 7Finished

Roman Bihun

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

81111131113––––

Danylo Kasian

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:47 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Roman Bihun to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingRoman Bihun above · Danylo Kasian below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-13

Point 67 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Roman Bihun at 54.0%

67 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:47

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Bihun

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Bihun 1410 vs Kasian 1426

Kasian

Correct

both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Bihun 20% vs Kasian 60%

Kasian

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Bihun 40% vs Kasian 70%

Kasian

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Bihun -4 · Kasian -1

Bihun

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Bihun) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bihun form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBihun 1.80 / Kasian 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Bihun)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13255552

Bihun1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite70% won 7 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5

Kasian1.91

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog56% won 19 of 34

Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18

Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBihunKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 101 vs 57 / 9247.5%62%48 / 101 vs 57 / 92Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.538.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Bihun

Bihun 1.80/Kasian 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Bihun · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kasian won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Bihun10