TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Kosmal vs Krzysztof Wloczko 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711811––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:53 and never touched: 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1113711811––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 4–6 Krzysztof Wloczko Dawid Kosmal has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5368.0%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
clears by 1.3pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Wloczko
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1634 vs Wloczko 1794
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 20% vs Wloczko 80%
Wloczko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 40% vs Wloczko 60%
Wloczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +1 · Wloczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Wloczko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 2.40 / Wloczko 1.50
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Wloczko)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13255106
Kosmal2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 71 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Wloczko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it97% 90 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it80% 162 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal4wins
AwayWloczko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal60%3 of 5
AwayWloczko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kosmal4Wloczko6n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Kosmal1Wloczko9n = 10Wloczko took 9 of 10
S4Kosmal4Wloczko4n = 8split evenly
S5Kosmal3Wloczko1n = 4Kosmal took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalWloczkoK − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.2−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 682 vs 937 / 179453.7%52.2%366 / 682 vs 937 / 1794Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoKosmal 2.40/Wloczko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 04:25D. Kosmal34613871K. Wloczko44111111113
LAug 31 · 05:15D. Kosmal3571131132K. Wloczko47115119113
LAug 18 · 13:50D. Kosmal33127861K. Wloczko43101111113
WAug 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal48117811113K. Wloczko4151111592
LAug 5 · 11:20D. Kosmal226790K. Wloczko331111113
LAug 4 · 10:30D. Kosmal3911124121K. Wloczko4781411143
LJul 14 · 12:10D. Kosmal133460K. Wloczko331111113
WMay 11 · 11:30D. Kosmal47511811123K. Wloczko48117119102
WFeb 6 · 11:20D. Kosmal5611111111123K. Wloczko50951313102
WFeb 5 · 10:30D. Kosmal3811511113K. Wloczko26411831
D. Kosmal10
LOct 7 · 11:45J. Stecyszyn1.4011148113D. Kosmal2.658121171WOct 7 · 09:45D. Kosmal1.90111211123M. Rutkowski1.754148101LOct 7 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.321111113D. Kosmal3.103790LOct 7 · 07:15M. Rutkowski1.821111113D. Kosmal1.889730LOct 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.95111011113D. Kosmal1.70912941LOct 7 · 04:25K. Wloczko1.47111111113D. Kosmal2.45613871LOct 7 · 03:00K. Kapik1.841111811113D. Kosmal1.8741311682WOct 6 · 19:40M. Minda2.75761131D. Kosmal1.4011117113WOct 6 · 18:50A. Linek3.2548111142D. Kosmal1.33111168113LOct 6 · 18:05D. Kosmal1.613111110102A. Gromek2.20118612123
K. Wloczko10
LOct 7 · 09:20K. Kapik1.6011101112163K. Wloczko2.20712714142WOct 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak3.85881151K. Wloczko1.2011118113WOct 7 · 06:50K. Kapik2.551124592K. Wloczko1.45611111113WOct 7 · 06:00K. Wloczko1.30148119113M. Rutkowski3.15121161182WOct 7 · 04:25K. Wloczko1.47111111113D. Kosmal2.45613871WOct 7 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.056860K. Wloczko1.681111113LOct 6 · 07:40K. Wloczko2.50711311P. Chodorski1.4511911113LOct 6 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.70891171J. Kuzmicz1.9511116113LOct 6 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.37781111102G. Poliniewicz2.80111179123WOct 6 · 04:00M. Olbrycht1.81114131052K. Wloczko1.904111112113
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