TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Wloczko vs Mateusz Rutkowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412811116911118
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 74.0% is still 74.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
74.0%
74.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1412811116911118
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 9–3 Mateusz Rutkowski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5874.0%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 2.9pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Wloczko
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1793 vs Rutkowski 1664
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Rutkowski 60%
Rutkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 40% vs Rutkowski 60%
Rutkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +2 · Rutkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Wloczko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 1.30 / Rutkowski 3.15
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Wloczko)-2.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13257519
Wloczko1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it97% 90 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it80% 162 of 203
Rutkowski3.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 121 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back22% 39 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko7wins
AwayRutkowski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko85.7%6 of 7
AwayRutkowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko7Rutkowski3n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S2Wloczko4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S3Wloczko6Rutkowski4n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko5Rutkowski2n = 7Wloczko took 5 of 7
S5Wloczko2Rutkowski1n = 3Wloczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoRutkowskiW − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.734.7+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime935 / 1791 vs 836 / 149552.2%55.9%935 / 1791 vs 836 / 1495Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoWloczko 1.30/Rutkowski 3.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 06:00K. Wloczko53148119113M. Rutkowski48121161182
WOct 1 · 10:50K. Wloczko50119811113M. Rutkowski4691111872
LSep 28 · 11:20K. Wloczko4411851192M. Rutkowski48711118113
WSep 24 · 07:15K. Wloczko331111113M. Rutkowski197660
WSep 21 · 04:00K. Wloczko331111113M. Rutkowski208660
WAug 9 · 20:05K. Wloczko4491311113M. Rutkowski371111781
WJul 18 · 16:30K. Wloczko43111011113M. Rutkowski31512771
LJun 7 · 16:45K. Wloczko35891171M. Rutkowski3611113113
WJun 6 · 16:45K. Wloczko43111110113M. Rutkowski29671241
LApr 2 · 15:05K. Wloczko197660M. Rutkowski331111113
K. Wloczko10
WOct 7 · 06:50K. Kapik2.551124592K. Wloczko1.45611111113WOct 7 · 04:25K. Wloczko1.47111111113D. Kosmal2.45613871WOct 7 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.056860K. Wloczko1.681111113LOct 6 · 07:40K. Wloczko2.50711311P. Chodorski1.4511911113LOct 6 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.70891171J. Kuzmicz1.9511116113LOct 6 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.37781111102G. Poliniewicz2.80111179123WOct 6 · 04:00M. Olbrycht1.81114131052K. Wloczko1.904111112113WOct 6 · 03:20K. Wloczko1.42111111113M. Malachowski2.60713421LOct 5 · 08:05G. Felkel1.3611912113K. Wloczko3.007111091LOct 5 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.36711116113K. Wloczko3.0011751182
M. Rutkowski10
LOct 7 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.75114146113M. Rutkowski1.97711121182WOct 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.4681012121M. Rutkowski1.42111210143LOct 6 · 14:15M. Rutkowski2.002700K. Kapik1.731111113WOct 6 · 12:35M. Olbrycht1.9011871172M. Rutkowski1.80611113113WOct 6 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz1.60551231M. Rutkowski2.10111110113LOct 6 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.8012950D. Kosmal1.861411113WOct 6 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.85111358113M. Malachowski1.85711111192WOct 5 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.9012114113D. Kostal1.801081191WOct 5 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz1.91113116112M. Rutkowski1.80711811133LOct 5 · 11:45M. Malachowski1.801113113M. Rutkowski1.8591170
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
M. Rutkowski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.