TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Zochniak vs Krzysztof Wloczko 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811118511––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:38 and never touched: 81.6% is still 81.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
81.6%
81.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811811118511––
H2H Jakub Zochniak 4–10 Krzysztof Wloczko Jakub Zochniak has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:3881.6%Our read83.3%to break even at 1.20
short by 1.7pp83.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.20 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (76%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Wloczko
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1579 vs Wloczko 1808
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 60% vs Wloczko 80%
Wloczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 60% vs Wloczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +2 · Wloczko +4
Wloczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% · Strong (leans Wloczko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (26%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 3.85 / Wloczko 1.20
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Wloczko)-1.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13257902
Zochniak3.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 131 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back14% 32 of 228
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Wloczko1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it97% 90 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it80% 162 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak3wins
AwayWloczko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak50%2 of 4
AwayWloczko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak4Wloczko6n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S2Zochniak5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Zochniak2Wloczko8n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S4Zochniak1Wloczko6n = 7Wloczko took 6 of 7
S5Zochniak2Wloczko1n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakWloczkoZ − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.741.2−5.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime1143 / 2188 vs 937 / 179352.2%52.3%1143 / 2188 vs 937 / 1793Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoZochniak 3.85/Wloczko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.6%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak225980K. Wloczko331111113
WJul 30 · 11:45J. Zochniak471211211113K. Wloczko45105111362
LJun 30 · 15:45J. Zochniak33812851K. Wloczko43111011113
WFeb 6 · 09:45J. Zochniak43101111113K. Wloczko39129991
LFeb 5 · 13:45J. Zochniak4211811662K. Wloczko46611711113
LFeb 5 · 08:10J. Zochniak2681080K. Wloczko341112113
LJan 30 · 04:55J. Zochniak34117881K. Wloczko4071111113
WJan 23 · 06:20J. Zochniak561611117113K. Wloczko52146131182
LNov 28 · 09:20J. Zochniak29511671K. Wloczko4211911113
LJun 13 · 05:20J. Zochniak2547140K. Wloczko381111163
J. Zochniak10
WOct 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak2.17111356123J. Kuzmicz1.628111111102WOct 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.95111011113D. Kosmal1.70912941LOct 7 · 04:00K. Kapik1.33111197113J. Zochniak3.1074111182LOct 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.4681012121M. Rutkowski1.42111210143WOct 5 · 13:55M. Zwolinski5.20391331J. Zochniak1.12111111113LOct 5 · 13:05A. Sobel1.85911119113J. Zochniak1.8511641142LOct 5 · 12:15J. Zochniak1.469880B. Sulkowski2.501111113WOct 5 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00891291WOct 5 · 09:50M. Kolek2.1211117992J. Zochniak1.65681111113WOct 4 · 20:05J. Zochniak1.5781111113B. Sulkowski2.25114571
K. Wloczko10
WOct 7 · 06:50K. Kapik2.551124592K. Wloczko1.45611111113WOct 7 · 06:00K. Wloczko1.30148119113M. Rutkowski3.15121161182WOct 7 · 04:25K. Wloczko1.47111111113D. Kosmal2.45613871WOct 7 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.056860K. Wloczko1.681111113LOct 6 · 07:40K. Wloczko2.50711311P. Chodorski1.4511911113LOct 6 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.70891171J. Kuzmicz1.9511116113LOct 6 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.37781111102G. Poliniewicz2.80111179123WOct 6 · 04:00M. Olbrycht1.81114131052K. Wloczko1.904111112113WOct 6 · 03:20K. Wloczko1.42111111113M. Malachowski2.60713421LOct 5 · 08:05G. Felkel1.3611912113K. Wloczko3.007111091
Upcoming Matches
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K. Wloczko
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