TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maciej Kolek vs Jakub Zochniak 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116118711911911
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched: 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
116118711911911
H2H Maciej Kolek 27–24 Jakub Zochniak Jakub Zochniak has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4762.1%Our read47.2%to break even at 2.12
clears by 14.9pp47.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.12 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Zochniak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
27-24 in 51
Kolek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1675 vs Zochniak 1566
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 100% vs Zochniak 40%
Kolek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 90% vs Zochniak 60%
Kolek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +6 · Zochniak +1
Kolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Kolek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.12 / Zochniak 1.65
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kolek)+14.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13244297
Kolek2.12
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 177 of 440
Down 0–1, comes back22% 58 of 259
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 116
Zochniak1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 310 of 464
Up 2–0, closes it94% 152 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it79% 235 of 297
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek5wins
AwayZochniak5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek71.4%5 of 7
AwayZochniak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek7Zochniak3n = 10Kolek took 7 of 10
S2Kolek3Zochniak7n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S3Kolek6Zochniak4n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S4Kolek7Zochniak2n = 9Kolek took 7 of 9
S5Kolek0Zochniak3n = 3Zochniak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekZochniakK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.538.1+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime765 / 1509 vs 1146 / 219350.7%52.3%765 / 1509 vs 1146 / 2193Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 2.12/Zochniak 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 13:55M. Kolek341211113J. Zochniak2610880
WSep 27 · 18:30M. Kolek3711411113J. Zochniak33811951
LSep 16 · 18:05M. Kolek4311711141J. Zochniak4661113163
LAug 31 · 03:00M. Kolek4611881182J. Zochniak45711115113
WAug 30 · 15:25M. Kolek3811511113J. Zochniak31611681
LAug 28 · 03:00M. Kolek35711981J. Zochniak4011711113
WAug 19 · 06:25M. Kolek4211711133J. Zochniak376119111
WAug 13 · 13:55M. Kolek3911611113J. Zochniak31611681
LAug 13 · 04:40M. Kolek49911111172J. Zochniak47111357113
LAug 4 · 05:35M. Kolek4291151162J. Zochniak45114118113
M. Kolek10
WOct 5 · 08:35M. Zwolinski5.101159111M. Kolek1.1271111133WOct 5 · 07:20M. Kolek1.091111113M. Lukaszewski5.905550WOct 5 · 06:05A. Sobel1.9811881192M. Kolek1.65711118113WOct 5 · 04:55B. Warpas4.006680M. Kolek1.221111113WOct 5 · 03:25B. Wisniewski5.0071480M. Kolek1.151116113WOct 4 · 00:10M. Kukawka2.63580M. Kolek1.4411112WOct 3 · 23:45M. Kolek1.4011118113B. Sulkowski2.75461171LOct 3 · 22:55M. Kolek1.679121191S. Brud2.1011148113WOct 3 · 21:00M. Kolek1.5312118113M. Makajew2.381071181WOct 3 · 20:30M. Makajew2.38421141M. Kolek1.5311117113
J. Zochniak10
WOct 4 · 20:05J. Zochniak1.5781111113B. Sulkowski2.25114571LOct 4 · 18:30K. Kapik1.401111113J. Zochniak2.759780LOct 4 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.734111011183J. Zochniak2.00119125162LOct 4 · 16:55J. Zochniak2.001110115102S. Brud1.73312611123WOct 4 · 15:45J. Zochniak1.73111198113J. Nadolny2.0086111172WOct 2 · 14:20J. Zochniak2.351071111113B. Czerwinski1.5012118572WOct 2 · 12:40B. Warpas3.40711971J. Zochniak1.2511811113WOct 2 · 11:50F. Krcil1.988711111J. Zochniak1.7311117133LOct 2 · 11:00J. Zochniak1.4781511782K. Kufel2.401113911113WOct 2 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.181111113J. Przewlocki4.507490
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.