TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Zochniak vs Bartosz Sulkowski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched: 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
911811811––––
H2H Jakub Zochniak 44–16 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 16 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:0467.5%Our read68.5%to break even at 1.46
short by 1.0pp68.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.46 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Zochniak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
44-16 in 60
Zochniak
Wrong
gap of 28 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1593 vs Sulkowski 1473
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 60% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 70% vs Sulkowski 50%
Zochniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +3 · Sulkowski -1
Zochniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Zochniak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 1.46 / Sulkowski 2.50
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Zochniak)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13244105
Zochniak1.46
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 310 of 464
Up 2–0, closes it94% 152 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it79% 235 of 297
Sulkowski2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 164 of 488
Down 0–1, comes back17% 50 of 288
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak8wins
AwaySulkowski2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak100%3 of 3
AwaySulkowski28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S2Zochniak9Sulkowski1n = 10Zochniak took 9 of 10
S3Zochniak6Sulkowski4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S4Zochniak7Sulkowski3n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S5Zochniak2Sulkowski1n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakSulkowskiZ − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.837.0+5.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1148 / 2195 vs 606 / 135852.3%44.6%1148 / 2195 vs 606 / 1358Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakZochniak 1.46/Sulkowski 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 20:05J. Zochniak4181111113B. Sulkowski27114571
WSep 30 · 16:30J. Zochniak4211119113B. Sulkowski23451131
WSep 25 · 09:50J. Zochniak3911116113B. Sulkowski30881131
WSep 24 · 18:05J. Zochniak48911116113B. Sulkowski4411951182
WSep 22 · 12:40J. Zochniak4181111113B. Sulkowski37118991
LSep 16 · 19:40J. Zochniak54121113992B. Sulkowski541471111113
WAug 27 · 03:20J. Zochniak3941113113B. Sulkowski391191181
WAug 26 · 10:10J. Zochniak50613911113B. Sulkowski46111111672
WAug 26 · 07:40J. Zochniak4211119113B. Sulkowski32781161
LAug 23 · 15:25J. Zochniak32841191B. Sulkowski3811115113
J. Zochniak10
LOct 5 · 13:05A. Sobel1.85911119113J. Zochniak1.8511641142WOct 5 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00891291WOct 5 · 09:50M. Kolek2.1211117992J. Zochniak1.65681111113WOct 4 · 20:05J. Zochniak1.5781111113B. Sulkowski2.25114571LOct 4 · 18:30K. Kapik1.401111113J. Zochniak2.759780LOct 4 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.734111011183J. Zochniak2.00119125162LOct 4 · 16:55J. Zochniak2.001110115102S. Brud1.73312611123WOct 4 · 15:45J. Zochniak1.73111198113J. Nadolny2.0086111172WOct 2 · 14:20J. Zochniak2.351071111113B. Czerwinski1.5012118572WOct 2 · 12:40B. Warpas3.40711971J. Zochniak1.2511811113
B. Sulkowski10
LOct 5 · 11:00M. Kolek1.46117119113B. Sulkowski2.5071161192WOct 5 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.0091030B. Sulkowski1.321112113WOct 5 · 00:10S. Brud1.61811119112B. Sulkowski2.20119711133WOct 4 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.1011611113M. Kukawka1.67311791LOct 4 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.10311641J. Nadolny1.6711811113WOct 4 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.201711113L. Pietraszko1.6115770LOct 4 · 20:05J. Zochniak1.5781111113B. Sulkowski2.25114571LOct 4 · 19:15S. Brud1.801312411113B. Sulkowski1.91111411592LOct 4 · 17:20K. Kapik1.131111113B. Sulkowski5.507880WOct 4 · 16:30J. Nadolny1.2213118562B. Sulkowski4.001171111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.