TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Wloczko vs Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911116711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
811911116711––
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 22–22 Jakub Kuzmicz Dead even across their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:1854.0%Our read51.3%to break even at 1.95
clears by 2.7pp51.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.95 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Wloczko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-22 in 44
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1773 vs Kuzmicz 1797
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Kuzmicz 60%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 40% vs Kuzmicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko -1 · Kuzmicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kuzmicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 1.70 / Kuzmicz 1.95
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+2.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13247623
Wloczko1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it97% 89 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it80% 162 of 203
Kuzmicz1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 127 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back33% 41 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko4wins
AwayKuzmicz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko75%3 of 4
AwayKuzmicz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S2Wloczko5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Wloczko4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko3Kuzmicz4n = 7Kuzmicz took 4 of 7
S5Wloczko2Kuzmicz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoKuzmiczW − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.140.6−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime933 / 1788 vs 742 / 129552.2%57.3%933 / 1788 vs 742 / 1295Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczWloczko 1.70/Kuzmicz 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 06:25K. Wloczko35891171J. Kuzmicz3911116113
LOct 2 · 12:30K. Wloczko35911871J. Kuzmicz3911611113
LOct 2 · 03:00K. Wloczko239680J. Kuzmicz331111113
WOct 1 · 05:15K. Wloczko49111112153J. Kuzmicz448914131
LSep 25 · 10:25K. Wloczko4511615762J. Kuzmicz504111311113
WSep 25 · 05:40K. Wloczko49118127113J. Kuzmicz45611101172
WSep 16 · 13:20K. Wloczko50711911123J. Kuzmicz43115116102
WSep 16 · 05:15K. Wloczko331111113J. Kuzmicz196670
LSep 11 · 10:25K. Wloczko49811612122J. Kuzmicz551191110143
LSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko33139110J. Kuzmicz391511133
K. Wloczko10
LOct 6 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.37781111102G. Poliniewicz2.80111179123WOct 6 · 04:00M. Olbrycht1.81114131052K. Wloczko1.904111112113WOct 6 · 03:20K. Wloczko1.42111111113M. Malachowski2.60713421LOct 5 · 08:05G. Felkel1.3611912113K. Wloczko3.007111091LOct 5 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.36711116113K. Wloczko3.0011751182LOct 5 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.501111113K. Wloczko2.505860WOct 5 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.441113981K. Wloczko2.6391511113LOct 5 · 03:00P. David1.25119611113K. Wloczko3.7591111852WOct 2 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.6181381172K. Wloczko2.201111117113WOct 2 · 14:35J. Kwapis2.3870K. Wloczko1.5381
J. Kuzmicz10
WOct 6 · 05:35M. Olbrycht2.5581211101J. Kuzmicz1.4211149123LOct 6 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.6610760M. Malachowski2.101211113WOct 6 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.101011911113P. Chodorski1.6012411642LOct 5 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.00111111113J. Kuzmicz1.73139961WOct 5 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.36911111172J. Kuzmicz3.00111357113LOct 5 · 11:15P. David1.501114113J. Kuzmicz2.5061260LOct 5 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.67111110113J. Kuzmicz2.10951291WOct 5 · 09:00G. Felkel1.6189100J. Kuzmicz2.201111123LOct 2 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz2.003550M. Jadczyk1.731111113LOct 2 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.73811111162K. Kolodziej2.00111386113
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
J. Kuzmicz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.