TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Michal Malachowski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:43 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1012711611––––
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 5–8 Michal Malachowski Jakub Kuzmicz has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:4354.9%Our read60.2%to break even at 1.66
short by 5.3pp60.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.66 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Kuzmicz
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Malachowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1792 vs Malachowski 1700
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Malachowski 60%
Malachowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 50% vs Malachowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +1 · Malachowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Kuzmicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malachowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.66 / Malachowski 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kuzmicz)-5.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13247625
Kuzmicz1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 391 of 629
Up 2–0, closes it98% 165 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it82% 275 of 337
Malachowski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back28% 17 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz3wins
AwayMalachowski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMalachowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz40%2 of 5
AwayMalachowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz5Malachowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmicz3Malachowski7n = 10Malachowski took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmicz2Malachowski8n = 10Malachowski took 8 of 10
S4Kuzmicz5Malachowski3n = 8Kuzmicz took 5 of 8
S5Kuzmicz1Malachowski2n = 3Malachowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczMalachowskiK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.9−2.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime740 / 1292 vs 404 / 76957.3%52.5%740 / 1292 vs 404 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.66/Malachowski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Malachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 04:25J. Kuzmicz52712811143M. Malachowski511110117122
LAug 21 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz35119781M. Malachowski3961111113
WAug 20 · 21:25J. Kuzmicz4111811113M. Malachowski31611681
LJul 9 · 16:30J. Kuzmicz331112461M. Malachowski4371411113
WJul 4 · 19:15J. Kuzmicz3711114113M. Malachowski24241171
LMay 20 · 15:05J. Kuzmicz46109111152M. Malachowski52121199113
LMay 5 · 00:40J. Kuzmicz227690M. Malachowski331111113
LMay 4 · 22:15J. Kuzmicz481141111112M. Malachowski49911133133
LMay 4 · 18:15J. Kuzmicz32912651M. Malachowski43111011113
LApr 23 · 00:15J. Kuzmicz2810990M. Malachowski341211113
J. Kuzmicz10
WOct 6 · 05:35M. Olbrycht2.5581211101J. Kuzmicz1.4211149123WOct 6 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.101011911113P. Chodorski1.6012411642LOct 5 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.00111111113J. Kuzmicz1.73139961WOct 5 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.36911111172J. Kuzmicz3.00111357113LOct 5 · 11:15P. David1.501114113J. Kuzmicz2.5061260LOct 5 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.67111110113J. Kuzmicz2.10951291WOct 5 · 09:00G. Felkel1.6189100J. Kuzmicz2.201111123LOct 2 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz2.003550M. Jadczyk1.731111113LOct 2 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.73811111162K. Kolodziej2.00111386113WOct 2 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz2.1011611113K. Wloczko1.67911871
M. Malachowski10
LOct 6 · 03:20K. Wloczko1.42111111113M. Malachowski2.60713421LOct 5 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.8011961382M. Olbrycht1.909111111113WOct 5 · 13:00M. Malachowski2.3081111113M. Sklensky1.55115581WOct 5 · 11:45M. Malachowski1.801113113M. Rutkowski1.8591170WOct 5 · 10:05M. Malachowski2.101312113G. Poliniewicz1.65111050WOct 5 · 09:00M. Malachowski1.681111113D. Kostal2.054630LOct 5 · 08:05M. Malachowski1.808511101K. Kapik1.8511117123WOct 5 · 06:25D. Kostal2.1091140M. Malachowski1.661113113WOct 5 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.8011139882M. Malachowski1.919111111113LOct 5 · 04:50M. Malachowski2.75681171M. Sklensky1.4011118113
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