TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Krzysztof Wloczko 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611118117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 55.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 20–22 Krzysztof Wloczko Jakub Kuzmicz has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2355.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wloczko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-22 in 42
Wloczko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1784 vs Wloczko 1801
Wloczko
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Wloczko 60%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Wloczko 60%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +2 · Wloczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Wloczko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 2.10 / Wloczko 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Wloczko)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13227656
Kuzmicz2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 128 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back33% 41 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Wloczko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 203 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it97% 88 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it80% 160 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz5wins
AwayWloczko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz80%4 of 5
AwayWloczko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmicz5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmicz7Wloczko3n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmicz2Wloczko4n = 6Wloczko took 4 of 6
S5Kuzmicz2Wloczko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczWloczkoK − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.70.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime736 / 1283 vs 932 / 178457.4%52.2%736 / 1283 vs 932 / 1784Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoKuzmicz 2.10/Wloczko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 03:00J. Kuzmicz331111113K. Wloczko239680
LOct 1 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz448914131K. Wloczko49111112153
WSep 25 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz504111311113K. Wloczko4511615762
LSep 25 · 05:40J. Kuzmicz45611101172K. Wloczko49118127113
LSep 16 · 13:20J. Kuzmicz43115116102K. Wloczko50711911123
LSep 16 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz196670K. Wloczko331111113
WSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz551191110143K. Wloczko49811612122
WSep 11 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz391511133K. Wloczko33139110
LAug 27 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz36881191K. Wloczko4111118113
WAug 26 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz331111113K. Wloczko259790
J. Kuzmicz10
WOct 2 · 11:15D. Michna1.53115771J. Kuzmicz2.3851111113WOct 2 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.571111113J. Kwapis2.257590LOct 2 · 08:30J. Kuzmicz1.7311581192G. Poliniewicz2.00911113113LOct 2 · 06:55J. Kuzmicz1.839860M. Jadczyk1.831111113LOct 2 · 05:40J. Kuzmicz2.38111291072D. Michna1.537101112113LOct 2 · 04:10J. Kuzmicz1.538770J. Kwapis2.381111113WOct 2 · 03:00J. Kuzmicz1.731111113K. Wloczko2.009680WOct 1 · 08:05D. Michna1.7313920J. Kuzmicz2.001511113LOct 1 · 07:20A. Grela1.441111113J. Kuzmicz2.634380LOct 1 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.83111112153J. Kuzmicz1.838914131
K. Wloczko10
WOct 2 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.50311661K. Wloczko2.5011911113LOct 2 · 10:00D. Michna1.61111111143K. Wloczko2.201358121WOct 2 · 08:05D. Michna1.6110513131K. Wloczko2.20121111153WOct 2 · 07:20G. Poliniewicz2.50781561K. Wloczko1.50111113113LOct 2 · 05:15J. Kwapis1.9111711123K. Wloczko1.806117101LOct 2 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.501111163K. Wloczko2.5029140LOct 2 · 03:00J. Kuzmicz1.731111113K. Wloczko2.009680WOct 1 · 14:35D. Michna1.8311991142K. Wloczko1.83511116113WOct 1 · 13:20K. Wloczko2.1017511113K. Kolodziej1.671511791WOct 1 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.83111112153J. Kuzmicz1.838914131
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