TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Krzysztof Wloczko 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811611––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:38 and never touched: 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
611811611––––
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 22–22 Krzysztof Wloczko Dead even across their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 21h before this match
Kuzmicz beat Wloczko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:3854.8%Our read59.5%to break even at 1.68
short by 4.7pp59.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.68 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-22 in 44
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1776 vs Wloczko 1762
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Wloczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Wloczko 30%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +1 · Wloczko -3
Wloczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Wloczko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 2.05 / Wloczko 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Wloczko)-4.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13254100
Kuzmicz2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 127 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back33% 41 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Wloczko1.68
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it97% 89 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it80% 162 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayWloczko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayWloczko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz6Wloczko4n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmicz5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmicz6Wloczko4n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmicz4Wloczko3n = 7Kuzmicz took 4 of 7
S5Kuzmicz2Wloczko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczWloczkoK − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.640.1+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime745 / 1301 vs 932 / 178857.3%52.1%745 / 1301 vs 932 / 1788Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoKuzmicz 2.05/Wloczko 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 06:25J. Kuzmicz3911116113K. Wloczko35891171
WOct 2 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz3911611113K. Wloczko35911871
WOct 2 · 03:00J. Kuzmicz331111113K. Wloczko239680
LOct 1 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz448914131K. Wloczko49111112153
WSep 25 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz504111311113K. Wloczko4511615762
LSep 25 · 05:40J. Kuzmicz45611101172K. Wloczko49118127113
LSep 16 · 13:20J. Kuzmicz43115116102K. Wloczko50711911123
LSep 16 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz196670K. Wloczko331111113
WSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz551191110143K. Wloczko49811612122
WSep 11 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz391511133K. Wloczko33139110
J. Kuzmicz10
WOct 6 · 14:35J. Kuzmicz1.3771311113D. Kosmal2.751111591LOct 6 · 13:00J. Kuzmicz1.70126671M. Malachowski2.05101111113LOct 6 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz1.60551231M. Rutkowski2.10111110113LOct 6 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz1.78911101192M. Olbrycht1.94117127113WOct 6 · 09:00J. Kuzmicz1.5091111113K. Kapik2.40116691WOct 6 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.81712128123G. Poliniewicz1.9011101011102WOct 6 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.70891171J. Kuzmicz1.9511116113WOct 6 · 05:35M. Olbrycht2.5581211101J. Kuzmicz1.4211149123LOct 6 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.6610760M. Malachowski2.101211113WOct 6 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.101011911113P. Chodorski1.6012411642
K. Wloczko10
WOct 7 · 04:25K. Wloczko1.47111111113D. Kosmal2.45613871LOct 6 · 07:40K. Wloczko2.50711311P. Chodorski1.4511911113LOct 6 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.70891171J. Kuzmicz1.9511116113LOct 6 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.37781111102G. Poliniewicz2.80111179123WOct 6 · 04:00M. Olbrycht1.81114131052K. Wloczko1.904111112113WOct 6 · 03:20K. Wloczko1.42111111113M. Malachowski2.60713421LOct 5 · 08:05G. Felkel1.3611912113K. Wloczko3.007111091LOct 5 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.36711116113K. Wloczko3.0011751182LOct 5 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.501111113K. Wloczko2.505860WOct 5 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.441113981K. Wloczko2.6391511113
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