Jakub Stecyszyn vs Dawid Kosmal 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 7Finished

Jakub Stecyszyn

Home

1.40

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1181412811117––

Dawid Kosmal

Away

2.65

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:44 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%

Graded at full time

Jakub Stecyszyn to win

69.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

82 points played in total.

Set by set

1181412811117––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:44

69.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40

short by 2.3pp

71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (65%)

Stecyszyn

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Stecyszyn 1975 vs Kosmal 1634

Stecyszyn

Correct

both rated, 341 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stecyszyn 60% vs Kosmal 20%

Stecyszyn

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stecyszyn 70% vs Kosmal 40%

Stecyszyn

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Stecyszyn +2 · Kosmal +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Stecyszyn) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kosmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStecyszyn 1.40 / Kosmal 2.65

Signal prob.69% / 31%

Edge (Stecyszyn)-2.3pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13255105

Stecyszyn1.40

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Kosmal2.65

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog39% won 71 of 184

Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 97

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStecyszynKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 27 vs 366 / 68270.4%53.7%19 / 27 vs 366 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Stecyszyn

Stecyszyn 1.40/Kosmal 2.65

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

69.1%

Stecyszyn · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Stecyszyn won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Stecyszyn10