Piotr Chodorski vs Jakub Stecyszyn 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 7Finished

Piotr Chodorski

Home

1.30

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 4

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1176117111412711

Jakub Stecyszyn

Away

3.40

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:37 and never touched: 67.9% is still 67.9%

Graded at full time

Piotr Chodorski to win

67.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPiotr Chodorski above · Jakub Stecyszyn below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 14-12

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 97 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Piotr Chodorski at 67.9%

97 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:37

67.9%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30

short by 9.0pp

76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.30 (72%)

Chodorski

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Chodorski 1816 vs Stecyszyn 2000

Stecyszyn

Correct

both rated, 184 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Chodorski 20% vs Stecyszyn 80%

Stecyszyn

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Chodorski 60% vs Stecyszyn 80%

Stecyszyn

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Chodorski -4 · Stecyszyn +2

Chodorski

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Chodorski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stecyszyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChodorski 1.30 / Stecyszyn 3.40

Signal prob.68% / 32%

Edge (Chodorski)-9.0pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13253509

Chodorski1.30

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Stecyszyn3.40

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricChodorskiStecyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 408 vs 16 / 2251.2%72.7%209 / 408 vs 16 / 22Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.840.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Chodorski

Chodorski 1.30/Stecyszyn 3.40

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

67.9%

Chodorski · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Stecyszyn won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Chodorski10