TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ales Hlawatschke vs Karel Brozhik 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111181171210––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:21 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Karel Brozhik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hlawatschke 1–0 Karel Brozhik Karel Brozhik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:2154.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1619 vs Brozhik 1580
Hlawatschke
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 60% vs Brozhik 40%
Hlawatschke
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 70% vs Brozhik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke +2 · Brozhik -3
Brozhik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hlawatschke) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozhik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.80 / Brozhik 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hlawatschke)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13253717
Hlawatschke1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 16 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 21 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Brozhik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 62 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back30% 22 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHlawatschke1wins
AwayBrozhik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHlawatschke leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHlawatschkeBrozhikH − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match54.052.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeBrozhikBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 233 vs 336 / 68950.6%48.8%118 / 233 vs 336 / 689Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeHlawatschke 1.80/Brozhik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WNov 13 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke54912811143K. Brozhik521110118122
A. Hlawatschke10
WSep 22 · 03:00A. Hlawatschke1.3671111133R. Krejci3.001159111WSep 22 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.6711116113M. Vedmoch2.10791161LSep 22 · 01:30D. Tuma2.201111113A. Hlawatschke1.616580WSep 22 · 00:00A. Hlawatschke1.3611511133R. Krejci3.007114111LSep 21 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.61111110113A. Hlawatschke2.20161261WSep 18 · 03:30A. Hlawatschke1.27961116143V. Cermak3.251111814122LSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma2.2011111010173A. Hlawatschke1.61691212152WSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 17 · 23:30A. Hlawatschke1.441111113V. Cermak2.631690WSep 17 · 22:00A. Hlawatschke2.2011611113F. Just1.61311591
K. Brozhik10
LOct 5 · 20:58M. Vedmoch2.501111113K. Brozhik1.504940LOct 5 · 20:30K. Brozhik1.337111151M. Vedmoch3.2511813113LOct 5 · 19:00K. Brozhik1.4461111962T. Janata2.63114611113WOct 5 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.20511481K. Brozhik1.6111811113WOct 5 · 03:30K. Brozhik1.55111414113M. Chlebecek2.354161261WOct 5 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.101691481K. Brozhik1.67141116113WOct 5 · 00:30K. Brozhik1.531111113M. Chlebecek2.388990WOct 4 · 23:00K. Brozhik1.6711611113R. Krejci2.10411981WOct 4 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.676510K. Brozhik2.101111113LOct 3 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.8311711143K. Brozhik1.833116121
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.