Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Mariusz Leczycki 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 5Finished

Miroslaw Lewczuk

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1121210811118––

Mariusz Leczycki

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:33 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Mariusz Leczycki to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Mariusz Leczycki below

Set 1 · 11-2

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 73 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Mariusz Leczycki at 54.0%

73 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:33

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Leczycki

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Lewczuk 1417 vs Leczycki 1338

Lewczuk

Correct

both rated, 79 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lewczuk 60% vs Leczycki 20%

Lewczuk

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lewczuk 70% vs Leczycki 50%

Lewczuk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lewczuk +1 · Leczycki -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Leczycki) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Leczycki form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLewczuk 1.909 / Leczycki 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Leczycki)-1.6pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13248474

Lewczuk1.91

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 66 of 189

Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 115

Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70

Leczycki1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricLewczukLeczyckiBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 999 vs 6 / 1251.4%50%513 / 999 vs 6 / 12Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Leczycki

Lewczuk 1.91/Leczycki 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Leczycki · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Lewczuk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Lewczuk10