Mariusz Leczycki vs Marcin Zielinski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 5Finished

Mariusz Leczycki

Home

2.63

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1191141113511911

Marcin Zielinski

Away

1.44

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%

Graded at full time

Marcin Zielinski to win

64.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMariusz Leczycki above · Marcin Zielinski below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-13

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 95 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Marcin Zielinski at 64.5%

95 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:42

64.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 4.8pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Zielinski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Leczycki 1392 vs Zielinski 1599

Zielinski

Correct

both rated, 207 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Leczycki 40% vs Zielinski 80%

Zielinski

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Leczycki 60% vs Zielinski 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Leczycki +1 · Zielinski -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Zielinski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zielinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLeczycki 2.625 / Zielinski 1.444

Signal prob.36% / 65%

Edge (Zielinski)-4.8pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13243921

Leczycki2.63

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 02)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Zielinski1.44

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 03)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricLeczyckiZielinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 18 / 2560%72%6 / 10 vs 18 / 25Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Zielinski

Leczycki 2.63/Zielinski 1.44

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

64.5%

Zielinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Zielinski won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Leczycki10