Mariusz Leczycki vs Aleksander Barton 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 1Finished

Mariusz Leczycki

Home

1.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

1–1Last 2Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

118911117411115

Aleksander Barton

Away

3.75

At publish

Lost last 7

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 7

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched: 75.0% is still 75.0%

Graded at full time

Mariusz Leczycki to win

75.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMariusz Leczycki above · Aleksander Barton below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 4-11

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 88 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Mariusz Leczycki at 75.0%

88 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:09

75.0%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25

short by 5.0pp

80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.25 (75%)

Leczycki

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Form (L5)

Leczycki 50% vs Barton 0%

Leczycki

Correct

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Leczycki 50% vs Barton 10%

Leczycki

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Leczycki +1 · Barton -7

Barton

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Leczycki) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Barton form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLeczycki 1.25 / Barton 3.75

Signal prob.75% / 25%

Edge (Leczycki)-5.0pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13228727

Leczycki1.25

50%won 1 of 2 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 1 of 2

Barton3.75

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 7

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog15% won 33 of 227

Down 0–1, comes back5% 9 of 167

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 133

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricLeczyckiBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 2 vs 87 / 40950%21.3%1 / 2 vs 87 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.01.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Leczycki

Leczycki 1.25/Barton 3.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

75%

Leczycki · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Leczycki won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Leczycki3