TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Aleksander Barton vs Miroslaw Lewczuk 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119118511911511
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:00 and never touched — 90.5% is still 90.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
90.5%
90.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Barton above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 90.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Barton 0–12 Miroslaw Lewczuk Aleksander Barton has won 0 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-12 in 12
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 12 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1076 vs Lewczuk 1326
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 250 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 20% vs Lewczuk 40%
Lewczuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Lewczuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Lewczuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% · Strong (leans Lewczuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 7.50 / Lewczuk 1.07
Signal prob.10% / 91%
Edge (Lewczuk)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13207110
Barton7.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back6% 9 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 129
Lewczuk1.07
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 171 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it96% 114 of 119
Up 1–0, closes it83% 135 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton0wins
AwayLewczuk10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLewczuk100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S2Barton0Lewczuk10n = 10Lewczuk took 10 of 10
S3Barton1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away880%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonLewczukB − LBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match22.835.6−12.8per matchSweeps08−83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 403 vs 497 / 97221.6%51.1%87 / 403 vs 497 / 972Avg sets wonper match1.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match31.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukBarton 7.50/Lewczuk 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.5%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton159420M. Lewczuk331111113
LAug 28 · 03:55A. Barton4212571172M. Lewczuk451011112113
LAug 21 · 00:45A. Barton206680M. Lewczuk331111113
LAug 4 · 01:00A. Barton1511040M. Lewczuk341112113
LAug 3 · 18:55A. Barton2110380M. Lewczuk341211113
LMay 18 · 21:10A. Barton229670M. Lewczuk331111113
LMay 11 · 22:25A. Barton206950M. Lewczuk331111113
LMay 4 · 22:25A. Barton258980M. Lewczuk331111113
LFeb 7 · 01:25A. Barton25341171M. Lewczuk4211119113
LFeb 6 · 21:45A. Barton2381230M. Lewczuk361114113
A. Barton10
LSep 28 · 23:30A. Barton3.7511580A. Krezel1.251311113LSep 28 · 21:00A. Barton6.5061180Z. Nocun1.101113113WSep 21 · 09:50T. Kordaszewski2.37811471A. Barton1.5211511113LSep 21 · 08:30A. Barton2.85115951H. Tkaczyk1.3571111113LSep 21 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.76861111113A. Barton1.9011118992LSep 21 · 06:30A. Barton3.8586111192J. Michalik1.15111188113WSep 21 · 05:30W. Stechly1.681031191A. Barton1.8712117113WSep 21 · 03:50J. Slawomir1.1011118992A. Barton4.55881111113LSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113LSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 28 · 23:10M. Lewczuk2.25113761Z. Nocun1.5791111113LSep 28 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.8381171192K. Kwiatkowski1.83119112113WSep 28 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.50145611113A. Skupinski2.50121111182LSep 28 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.739770A. Krezel2.001111113LSep 28 · 17:20M. Lewczuk2.25117211102Z. Nocun1.57611117123LSep 28 · 16:15H. Tkaczyk1.57612114113M. Lewczuk2.25111051142WSep 28 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.9171111113K. Kwiatkowski1.80113891WSep 28 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.22111111113A. Szurgot4.00641331LSep 28 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.735450A. Kubiak2.001111113WSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113
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