TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Artur Zmijewski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411311115116711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched: 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
411311115116711
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 5–5 Artur Zmijewski Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:5658.5%Our read60.2%to break even at 1.66
short by 1.7pp60.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.66 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1367 vs Zmijewski 1461
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Zmijewski 40%
Lewczuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 60% vs Zmijewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +1 · Zmijewski -3
Zmijewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Zmijewski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 2.10 / Zmijewski 1.66
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Zmijewski)-1.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222941
Lewczuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 66 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Zmijewski1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 75 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it89% 57 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk5wins
AwayZmijewski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayZmijewski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk6Zmijewski4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S2Lewczuk6Zmijewski4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S3Lewczuk2Zmijewski8n = 10Zmijewski took 8 of 10
S4Lewczuk2Zmijewski4n = 6Zmijewski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukZmijewskiL − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.3−3.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime507 / 990 vs 101 / 17351.2%58.4%507 / 990 vs 101 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiLewczuk 2.10/Zmijewski 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 21:45M. Lewczuk249780A. Zmijewski331111113
LSep 21 · 17:45M. Lewczuk24111661A. Zmijewski4211911113
WSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk43113711113A. Zmijewski4281111392
WSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk4011117113A. Zmijewski33871171
WSep 3 · 00:10M. Lewczuk331111113A. Zmijewski209470
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Lewczuk521111910113A. Zmijewski4586111282
LAug 21 · 04:20M. Lewczuk291011351A. Zmijewski4112711113
LAug 20 · 18:45M. Lewczuk34119861A. Zmijewski4291111113
LAug 19 · 21:20M. Lewczuk122640A. Zmijewski331111113
WAug 19 · 15:25M. Lewczuk381116113A. Zmijewski3291490
M. Lewczuk10
WOct 1 · 19:55M. Lewczuk1.521111143M. Wolny2.3768120LOct 1 · 18:45M. Zielinski—8111110113M. Lewczuk—11791292WOct 1 · 17:55M. Lewczuk1.37111714113A. Staniczek2.751191241LOct 1 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.53211671G. Mucha2.3811911113WOct 1 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.6781111123M. Machelski2.101185101WSep 30 · 23:20M. Lewczuk2.63111177113Z. Nocun1.4465111182LSep 30 · 22:10H. Tkaczyk1.501112143M. Lewczuk2.50410120LSep 30 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.7386100J. Skorupa2.001111123WSep 30 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.5011118113A. Skupinski2.50871161WSep 30 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.5791111113M. Machelski2.25116721
A. Zmijewski10
WOct 1 · 22:40A. Zmijewski1.351111113M. Wolny2.957390LOct 1 · 20:20M. Zielinski—451311123A. Zmijewski—1111119102LOct 1 · 19:30A. Zmijewski1.47711971A. Staniczek2.5111411113LOct 1 · 18:20A. Zmijewski1.5711711462D. Molenda2.26711911113WSep 27 · 02:45A. Fomin1.788280A. Zmijewski1.931111113WSep 27 · 01:35A. Zmijewski2.351111113J. Oracz1.539630WSep 27 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.95911751A. Zmijewski1.7011911113WSep 26 · 23:10G. Mucha2.8851391192A. Zmijewski1.371111118113WSep 26 · 21:35M. Machelski3.306750A. Zmijewski1.271111113LSep 26 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.537131111113A. Zmijewski2.35111113842
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