TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Michal Wolny 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181412––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched: 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1161181412––––
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 38–15 Michal Wolny Michal Wolny has won 15 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:4565.4%Our read65.8%to break even at 1.52
short by 0.4pp65.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.52 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
38-15 in 53
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 23 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1356 vs Wolny 1268
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Wolny 40%
Lewczuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 50% vs Wolny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Wolny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Lewczuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.52 / Wolny 2.37
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Lewczuk)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13222942
Lewczuk1.52
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 176 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it84% 137 of 164
Wolny2.37
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 35 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk6wins
AwayWolny4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%5 of 5
AwayWolny80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk5Wolny5n = 10split evenly
S2Lewczuk7Wolny3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S3Lewczuk7Wolny3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Lewczuk1Wolny7n = 8Wolny took 7 of 8
S5Lewczuk3Wolny1n = 4Lewczuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukWolnyL − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.537.1+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime506 / 989 vs 269 / 57451.2%46.9%506 / 989 vs 269 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.52/Wolny 2.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.4%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 18 · 22:50M. Lewczuk4151111141M. Wolny4511135163
WMay 18 · 15:10M. Lewczuk44113117123M. Wolny46811611102
WApr 25 · 00:25M. Lewczuk331111113M. Wolny163490
WApr 24 · 20:45M. Lewczuk42511114113M. Wolny3411221182
LApr 18 · 00:45M. Lewczuk34811871M. Wolny3811511113
LApr 17 · 18:45M. Lewczuk379111071M. Wolny4111712113
WFeb 20 · 23:50M. Lewczuk331111113M. Wolny249960
WFeb 20 · 16:10M. Lewczuk4414118113M. Wolny361271161
LFeb 6 · 23:00M. Lewczuk53161111962M. Wolny53186711113
WFeb 6 · 19:00M. Lewczuk5411101111113M. Wolny3831241362
M. Lewczuk10
LOct 1 · 21:05M. Lewczuk2.1043111172A. Zmijewski1.66111156113LOct 1 · 18:45M. Zielinski—8111110113M. Lewczuk—11791292WOct 1 · 17:55M. Lewczuk1.37111714113A. Staniczek2.751191241LOct 1 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.53211671G. Mucha2.3811911113WOct 1 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.6781111123M. Machelski2.101185101WSep 30 · 23:20M. Lewczuk2.63111177113Z. Nocun1.4465111182LSep 30 · 22:10H. Tkaczyk1.501112143M. Lewczuk2.50410120LSep 30 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.7386100J. Skorupa2.001111123WSep 30 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.5011118113A. Skupinski2.50871161WSep 30 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.5791111113M. Machelski2.25116721
M. Wolny10
WOct 1 · 21:55A. Staniczek2.807430M. Wolny1.361111113LOct 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.121111113M. Wolny5.007790LOct 1 · 17:30M. Zielinski—981111113M. Wolny—11114482WSep 28 · 08:20W. Stechly1.6011117592M. Wolny2.22581111113LSep 28 · 07:35A. Fomin1.521111113M. Wolny2.305450WSep 28 · 05:35J. Slawomir2.0511119782M. Wolny1.70281111113LSep 28 · 04:50M. Machelski2.2531111113M. Wolny1.57118781WSep 28 · 03:10T. Kordaszewski3.55811571M. Wolny1.2511811113LSep 26 · 02:45M. Krutak1.4411511113M. Wolny2.60811781WSep 26 · 01:35M. Wolny2.2881111113M. Warzecha1.56116581
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