TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Michal Wolny 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116911114––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:54 and never touched: 67.4% is still 67.4%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
67.4%
67.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
117116911114––
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 39–15 Michal Wolny Michal Wolny has won 15 of their 54 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Lewczuk beat Wolny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:5467.4%Our read68.5%to break even at 1.46
short by 1.1pp68.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.46 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (64%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
39-15 in 54
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 24 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1392 vs Wolny 1252
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Wolny 20%
Lewczuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 60% vs Wolny 30%
Lewczuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +2 · Wolny -3
Wolny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Lewczuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (20%) is below what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.46 / Wolny 2.55
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Lewczuk)-1.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222937
Lewczuk1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 176 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it84% 137 of 164
Wolny2.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 35 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk6wins
AwayWolny4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%5 of 5
AwayWolny80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk5Wolny5n = 10split evenly
S2Lewczuk8Wolny2n = 10Lewczuk took 8 of 10
S3Lewczuk7Wolny3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Lewczuk1Wolny6n = 7Wolny took 6 of 7
S5Lewczuk2Wolny1n = 3Lewczuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukWolnyL − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.9+3.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 993 vs 270 / 57951.3%46.6%509 / 993 vs 270 / 579Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.46/Wolny 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.4%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 19:55M. Lewczuk361111143M. Wolny2668120
LMay 18 · 22:50M. Lewczuk4151111141M. Wolny4511135163
WMay 18 · 15:10M. Lewczuk44113117123M. Wolny46811611102
WApr 25 · 00:25M. Lewczuk331111113M. Wolny163490
WApr 24 · 20:45M. Lewczuk42511114113M. Wolny3411221182
LApr 18 · 00:45M. Lewczuk34811871M. Wolny3811511113
LApr 17 · 18:45M. Lewczuk379111071M. Wolny4111712113
WFeb 20 · 23:50M. Lewczuk331111113M. Wolny249960
WFeb 20 · 16:10M. Lewczuk4414118113M. Wolny361271161
LFeb 6 · 23:00M. Lewczuk53161111962M. Wolny53186711113
M. Lewczuk10
WOct 2 · 00:45J. Michalik2.0011117652M. Lewczuk1.72991111113WOct 1 · 23:55M. Lewczuk1.3011113113A. Staniczek3.05761181WOct 1 · 22:20M. Lewczuk1.431111143D. Molenda2.6389120LOct 1 · 21:05M. Lewczuk2.1043111172A. Zmijewski1.66111156113WOct 1 · 19:55M. Lewczuk1.521111143M. Wolny2.3768120LOct 1 · 18:45M. Zielinski—8111110113M. Lewczuk—11791292WOct 1 · 17:55M. Lewczuk1.37111714113A. Staniczek2.751191241LOct 1 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.53211671G. Mucha2.3811911113WOct 1 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.6781111123M. Machelski2.101185101WSep 30 · 23:20M. Lewczuk2.63111177113Z. Nocun1.4465111182
M. Wolny10
LOct 2 · 01:10M. Zielinski—1112113M. Wolny—91040LOct 1 · 23:30J. Michalik1.8591111133M. Wolny1.851177111LOct 1 · 22:40A. Zmijewski1.351111113M. Wolny2.957390WOct 1 · 21:55A. Staniczek2.807430M. Wolny1.361111113LOct 1 · 19:55M. Lewczuk1.521111143M. Wolny2.3768120LOct 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.121111113M. Wolny5.007790LOct 1 · 17:30M. Zielinski—981111113M. Wolny—11114482WSep 28 · 08:20W. Stechly1.6011117592M. Wolny2.22581111113LSep 28 · 07:35A. Fomin1.521111113M. Wolny2.305450WSep 28 · 05:35J. Slawomir2.0511119782M. Wolny1.70281111113
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