TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Enio Mendes vs Pylyp Koloidenko 3-0 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Oct 5Finished
Enio Mendes
Home
1.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116115––––
Pylyp Koloidenko
Away
8.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched: 89.0% is still 89.0%
Graded at full timeEnio Mendes to win
89.0%
89.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingEnio Mendes above · Pylyp Koloidenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Enio Mendes at 89.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Enio Mendes 2–0 Pylyp Koloidenko Pylyp Koloidenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5589.0%Our read95.2%to break even at 1.05
short by 6.2pp95.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.05 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Mendes
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mendes 1836 vs Koloidenko 1381
Mendes
Correct
both rated, 455 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mendes 60% vs Koloidenko 40%
Mendes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mendes 70% vs Koloidenko 30%
Mendes
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mendes +1 · Koloidenko -3
Koloidenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% · Strong (leans Mendes) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koloidenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (12%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMendes 1.05 / Koloidenko 8.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Mendes)-6.2pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #13246661
Mendes1.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite77% won 26 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Koloidenko8.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog13% won 2 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMendes2wins
AwayKoloidenko0wins
Mendes leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMendesKoloidenkoM − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMendesKoloidenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 68 vs 45 / 14570.6%31%48 / 68 vs 45 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.832.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MendesMendes 1.05/Koloidenko 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Mendes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mendes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WFeb 16 · 09:00E. Mendes331111113P. Koloidenko208660
WJun 9 · 10:00E. Mendes331111113P. Koloidenko208660
E. Mendes10
WOct 5 · 12:30E. Mendes1.57111210113C. Besnier2.257101281WOct 5 · 08:30K. Zimmermann2.751E. Mendes1.403LOct 5 · 07:00E. Mendes3.701111851M. Aguirre1.2513911113LSep 18 · 10:58D. Rinderer1.8371111113E. Mendes1.83119671WSep 18 · 09:43E. Mendes1.53117129113L. Qiu2.38911101152WSep 18 · 08:30E. Mendes1.071111113J. Harencak7.508670WSep 18 · 06:30E. Mendes1.50811117113L. Qiu2.5011491152WSep 17 · 16:00E. Mendes—81111113J. Loffler—115871LSep 17 · 12:30E. Mendes1.1055111192D. Zech6.50111169113WSep 17 · 11:00E. Mendes1.5311611113M. Scharrer2.38811651
P. Koloidenko10
LOct 5 · 10:00J. Loffler—11119113P. Koloidenko—811181LOct 5 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.3311911113P. Koloidenko3.25511291LAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113WAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950WAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113LAug 24 · 10:30P. Koloidenko4.50611771M. Henninger1.1711811113LAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113WApr 17 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.081211113A. Moreno7.0010730
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