TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Molin vs Bruno Mrowetz 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111614118611911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 106 set 5, 9-11
106 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 1–0 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Molin beat Mrowetz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 2.75 / Mrowetz 1.40
TT Cup · #13243541
Molin2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 20 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Mrowetz1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 78 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMolin1wins
AwayMrowetz0wins
Molin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMolinMrowetzMolin − MrowetzBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.024.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 317 vs 265 / 52652.7%50.4%167 / 317 vs 265 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMolin 2.75/Mrowetz 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 4 · 09:45T. Molin331111113B. Mrowetz249870
T. Molin10
LOct 4 · 12:15J. Travnicek1.73111111113T. Molin2.00813971LOct 4 · 11:15T. Molin2.63581191J. Krupnik1.4411119113WOct 4 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.539870T. Molin2.381111113WSep 27 · 21:10D. Branny2.109101861T. Molin1.67111216113LSep 27 · 19:45D. Branny2.38881212113T. Molin1.531111101072WSep 27 · 19:15O. Skvor2.1011137592T. Molin1.676111111113WSep 27 · 18:15T. Molin1.571112113V. Reska2.2561090WSep 27 · 16:39A. Cizek2.1067111122T. Molin1.67111169113LSep 27 · 15:45T. Molin3.406570L. Dzida1.301111113LSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143
B. Mrowetz10
LOct 4 · 11:45B. Mrowetz1.735570J. Krupnik2.001111113LOct 4 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.61111111652J. Travnicek2.20137811113LOct 4 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.539870T. Molin2.381111113WOct 1 · 13:05B. Mrowetz1.9151111113D. Velky Jr1.80116171LOct 1 · 11:40D. Velky Jr2.201112113B. Mrowetz1.6181090WOct 1 · 11:10T. Kindl2.109940B. Mrowetz1.671111113WOct 1 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.831111115113L. Dzida1.8385131162WOct 1 · 09:09J. Krupnik2.109970B. Mrowetz1.671111113LOct 1 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.80114851J. Krupnik1.9181111113WOct 1 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.6711911113R. Benes2.10611771
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