TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Skvor vs Tomas Molin 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161311711511911
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Molin to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Tomas Molin @ 1.67 · Won
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Molin at 58.6%
95 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1398 vs Molin 1583
Molin
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 60% vs Molin 40%
Skvor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 40% vs Molin 70%
Molin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor -2 · Molin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 2.10 / Molin 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Molin)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13206156
Skvor2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 18 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Molin1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 187 vs 164 / 31150.8%52.7%95 / 187 vs 164 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinSkvor 2.10/Molin 1.67
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Molin · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Tomas Molin @ 1.67 · Won
What happened
2–3
Molin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Skvor10
WSep 27 · 20:15V. Reska1.735790O. Skvor2.001111113LSep 27 · 17:45D. Branny1.7311115113O. Skvor2.00681191LSep 25 · 13:20O. Skvor1.619111051T. Ogrocki2.2011612113WSep 25 · 11:45A. Drozd1.67571151O. Skvor2.1011117113WSep 25 · 11:15T. Ogrocki2.00121191182O. Skvor1.731013118113WSep 25 · 10:15O. Skvor1.911011811113M. Janik1.8012111992LSep 25 · 08:44I. Jemelka1.801111113O. Skvor1.917980WSep 25 · 07:45O. Skvor2.0011118123M. Janik1.738611101LSep 25 · 06:45O. Skvor1.5712115942J. Sindler2.251091111113LSep 25 · 05:45O. Skvor1.80312371I. Jemelka1.91111011113
T. Molin10
LSep 27 · 19:45D. Branny2.38881212113T. Molin1.531111101072WSep 27 · 18:15T. Molin1.571112113V. Reska2.2561090WSep 27 · 16:39A. Cizek2.1067111122T. Molin1.67111169113LSep 27 · 15:45T. Molin3.406570L. Dzida1.301111113LSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143LSep 27 · 13:45T. Molin2.007118121A. Cizek1.7311911143WSep 25 · 17:15T. Molin1.5711129113L. Kantor2.258101181WSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141WSep 25 · 14:45L. Kantor2.202790T. Molin1.611111113WSep 25 · 14:15V. Konvicka2.1066111172T. Molin1.67111198113
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