TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vladislav Reska vs Ondrej Skvor 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 3–1 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Reska
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1414 vs Skvor 1392
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 20% vs Skvor 40%
Skvor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 30% vs Skvor 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska -4 · Skvor -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.73 / Skvor 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reska)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13206120
Reska1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 72 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 52 of 69
Skvor2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 18 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeReska3wins
AwaySkvor1wins
Reska leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska2Skvor2n = 4split evenly
S2Reska1Skvor3n = 4Skvor took 3 of 4
S3Reska4Skvor0n = 4Reska took 4 of 4
S4Reska3Skvor1n = 4Reska took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricReskaSkvorR − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.535.2+4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 517 vs 95 / 18850.1%50.5%259 / 517 vs 95 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.73/Skvor 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska34871181O. Skvor3911116113
WSep 2 · 14:40V. Reska4111811113O. Skvor37911891
WAug 30 · 21:13V. Reska4391211113O. Skvor321110471
WAug 30 · 19:45V. Reska4011711113O. Skvor33811591
V. Reska10
LSep 27 · 20:39O. Skvor1.61911212113V. Reska2.20119111082LSep 27 · 18:45D. Branny1.6781611113V. Reska2.101114591LSep 27 · 18:15T. Molin1.571112113V. Reska2.2561090LSep 26 · 16:49V. Reska1.33111110892M. Lorenc3.25691211113LSep 26 · 15:45V. Reska1.7361311862J. Przybyla2.001111811113WSep 26 · 14:45V. Reska1.731112113M. Lorenc2.0071060LSep 26 · 13:45V. Reska1.40111111882T. Ogrocki2.75613911113LSep 24 · 21:15V. Reska1.619890J. Przybyla2.201111113WSep 24 · 20:15V. Reska1.7311114113J. Przybyla2.00891171WSep 24 · 18:45M. Raska1.9111611992V. Reska1.80611911113
O. Skvor10
WSep 27 · 20:39O. Skvor1.61911212113V. Reska2.20119111082LSep 27 · 19:15O. Skvor2.1011137592T. Molin1.676111111113LSep 27 · 17:45D. Branny1.7311115113O. Skvor2.00681191LSep 25 · 13:20O. Skvor1.619111051T. Ogrocki2.2011612113WSep 25 · 11:45A. Drozd1.67571151O. Skvor2.1011117113WSep 25 · 11:15T. Ogrocki2.00121191182O. Skvor1.731013118113WSep 25 · 10:15O. Skvor1.911011811113M. Janik1.8012111992LSep 25 · 08:44I. Jemelka1.801111113O. Skvor1.917980WSep 25 · 07:45O. Skvor2.0011118123M. Janik1.738611101LSep 25 · 06:45O. Skvor1.5712115942J. Sindler2.251091111113
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