TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Branny vs Tomas Molin 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81181112101210117
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Molin to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 100 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Molin at 62.4%
100 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 4–10 Tomas Molin Daniel Branny has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Molin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Molin
Wrong
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1548 vs Molin 1577
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 60% vs Molin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Molin 70%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny +3 · Molin +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 2.38 / Molin 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Molin)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13205921
Branny2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Molin1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBranny3wins
AwayMolin7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrannyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMolin70%7 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny0Molin10n = 10Molin took 10 of 10
S2Branny6Molin4n = 10Branny took 6 of 10
S3Branny3Molin7n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S4Branny3Molin5n = 8Molin took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrannyMolinB − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match35.242.0−6.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 354 vs 165 / 31352.3%52.7%185 / 354 vs 165 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinBranny 2.38/Molin 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 19:45D. Branny51881212113T. Molin491111101072
WSep 18 · 21:08D. Branny4371114113T. Molin401181291
LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny196670T. Molin331111113
LSep 7 · 20:10D. Branny213990T. Molin331111113
LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny22311351T. Molin4111811113
LAug 16 · 20:44D. Branny4211119111T. Molin4513811133
WAug 16 · 19:40D. Branny47611811113T. Molin4711911882
LJul 31 · 19:15D. Branny35811971T. Molin4211911113
LJul 21 · 18:45D. Branny31611681T. Molin4011711113
LJul 8 · 19:45D. Branny411451481T. Molin50161112113
D. Branny10
WSep 27 · 18:45D. Branny1.6781611113V. Reska2.101114591WSep 27 · 17:45D. Branny1.7311115113O. Skvor2.00681191WSep 24 · 20:44M. Raska2.00119118142D. Branny1.73911511163LSep 24 · 19:45M. Raska2.001111113D. Branny1.734890LSep 24 · 19:15J. Przybyla2.20112119113D. Branny1.6191191192WSep 24 · 18:15D. Branny1.671111113V. Reska2.108940LSep 21 · 20:43P. Vinansky1.8014411113D. Branny1.911211981LSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky2.001113133D. Branny1.73711110WSep 21 · 19:15D. Branny2.501111113A. Kanak1.507960LSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341
T. Molin10
WSep 27 · 19:15O. Skvor2.1011137592T. Molin1.676111111113WSep 27 · 18:15T. Molin1.571112113V. Reska2.2561090WSep 27 · 16:39A. Cizek2.1067111122T. Molin1.67111169113LSep 27 · 15:45T. Molin3.406570L. Dzida1.301111113LSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143LSep 27 · 13:45T. Molin2.007118121A. Cizek1.7311911143WSep 25 · 17:15T. Molin1.5711129113L. Kantor2.258101181WSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141WSep 25 · 14:45L. Kantor2.202790T. Molin1.611111113WSep 25 · 14:15V. Konvicka2.1066111172T. Molin1.67111198113
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