TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Molin vs Lukas Dzida 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:16 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 55.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 1–5 Lukas Dzida Tomas Molin has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Dzida
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1559 vs Dzida 1587
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 60% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 70% vs Dzida 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin -2 · Dzida +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 3.40 / Dzida 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Dzida)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13205815
Molin3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 20 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Dzida1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 28 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMolin1wins
AwayDzida5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderDzida leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolin33.3%1 of 3
AwayDzida100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin3Dzida3n = 6split evenly
S2Molin2Dzida4n = 6Dzida took 4 of 6
S3Molin4Dzida2n = 6Molin took 4 of 6
S4Molin2Dzida4n = 6Dzida took 4 of 6
S5Molin0Dzida3n = 3Dzida took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMolinDzidaM − DBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.041.3−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 308 vs 120 / 21952.6%54.8%162 / 308 vs 120 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaMolin 3.40/Dzida 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 6 · 14:10T. Molin49118118112L. Dzida48411911133
LSep 2 · 14:15T. Molin32118851L. Dzida4291111113
LAug 15 · 15:10T. Molin4371111772L. Dzida45113911113
LJul 29 · 10:40T. Molin44511711102L. Dzida41112115123
WJul 24 · 13:19T. Molin3711312113L. Dzida326111051
LJul 24 · 10:45T. Molin35961191L. Dzida4011117113
T. Molin10
LSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143LSep 27 · 13:45T. Molin2.007118121A. Cizek1.7311911143WSep 25 · 17:15T. Molin1.5711129113L. Kantor2.258101181WSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141WSep 25 · 14:45L. Kantor2.202790T. Molin1.611111113WSep 25 · 14:15V. Konvicka2.1066111172T. Molin1.67111198113WSep 20 · 13:20T. Molin1.3011811113J. Volny3.40711581LSep 20 · 11:40V. Konvicka1.8313118113T. Molin1.831131181WSep 20 · 11:10T. Lysek1.917570T. Molin1.801111113WSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760
L. Dzida10
WSep 27 · 15:15A. Cizek2.00911271L. Dzida1.7311711113LSep 27 · 14:15L. Dzida1.4011912782J. Volny2.759111011113WSep 27 · 13:17D. Jr1.73117991L. Dzida2.0091111113LSep 27 · 11:45D. Jr1.83141189113L. Dzida1.83126111182WSep 27 · 11:15D. Pawlik2.009511101L. Dzida1.7311117123WSep 27 · 10:15L. Dzida1.7381111113E. Precek2.00117751WSep 24 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.67951251L. Dzida2.10111110113LSep 24 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.8011512113L. Dzida1.914111021WSep 24 · 11:10L. Dzida1.831111123D. Pawlik1.8348100WSep 24 · 09:40T. Krenek1.5788130L. Dzida2.251111153
Upcoming Matches
T. Molin
L. Dzida
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