TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Dzida vs Jakub Volny 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199111210711811
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:26 and never touched — 71.4% is still 71.4%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
71.4%
71.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 71.4%
99 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dzida 3–0 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Dzida
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1605 vs Volny 1456
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 80% vs Volny 0%
Dzida
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 70% vs Volny 30%
Dzida
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida +1 · Volny -5
Volny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.40 / Volny 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Dzida)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13205823
Dzida1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 28 of 42
Volny2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDzida3wins
AwayVolny0wins
Dzida leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida100%3 of 3
AwayVolnyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida3Volny0n = 3Dzida took 3 of 3
S2Dzida2Volny1n = 3Dzida took 2 of 3
S3Dzida3Volny0n = 3Dzida took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDzidaVolnyD − VBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match37.026.3+10.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 217 vs 173 / 36354.8%47.7%119 / 217 vs 173 / 363Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.40/Volny 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida331111113J. Volny205870
WJul 28 · 15:15L. Dzida331111113J. Volny229580
WJul 18 · 13:45L. Dzida45111012123J. Volny3751210101
L. Dzida10
WSep 27 · 13:17D. Jr1.73117991L. Dzida2.0091111113LSep 27 · 11:45D. Jr1.83141189113L. Dzida1.83126111182WSep 27 · 11:15D. Pawlik2.009511101L. Dzida1.7311117123WSep 27 · 10:15L. Dzida1.7381111113E. Precek2.00117751WSep 24 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.67951251L. Dzida2.10111110113LSep 24 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.8011512113L. Dzida1.914111021WSep 24 · 11:10L. Dzida1.831111123D. Pawlik1.8348100WSep 24 · 09:40T. Krenek1.5788130L. Dzida2.251111153LSep 16 · 17:09V. Konvicka1.61118117123L. Dzida2.20911411102WSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113
J. Volny10
WSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143LSep 26 · 12:46T. Lysek1.3313811133J. Volny3.2511119111LSep 26 · 12:15T. Lysek1.7311712113J. Volny2.009111091LSep 26 · 11:15J. Volny2.255580P. Vinansky1.571111113LSep 26 · 09:45A. Cizek1.7391112153J. Volny2.0011310131LSep 20 · 13:20T. Molin1.3011811113J. Volny3.40711581WSep 20 · 12:10J. Volny1.6711121112123T. Lysek2.10614914102WSep 20 · 10:40V. Konvicka1.807780J. Volny1.911111113LSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760WSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133
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