TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Molin vs Jakub Volny 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12106111149111214
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Molin to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 100 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Tomas Molin at 65.2%
100 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 12–4 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Molin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Molin
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1564 vs Volny 1485
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 80% vs Volny 20%
Molin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 80% vs Volny 40%
Molin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin -1 · Volny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.53 / Volny 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Molin)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13205792
Molin1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Volny2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolin8wins
AwayVolny2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolin83.3%5 of 6
AwayVolny25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin6Volny4n = 10Molin took 6 of 10
S2Molin7Volny3n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S3Molin8Volny2n = 10Molin took 8 of 10
S4Molin3Volny5n = 8Volny took 5 of 8
S5Molin4Volny2n = 6Molin took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolinVolnyM − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.338.1+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 307 vs 174 / 36452.8%47.8%162 / 307 vs 174 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.53/Volny 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 13:20T. Molin4111811113J. Volny31711581
WSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin331111113J. Volny218760
WAug 19 · 21:10T. Molin371511113J. Volny2113350
WAug 19 · 19:15T. Molin43111110113J. Volny34771281
WAug 15 · 20:10T. Molin50612128123J. Volny5211101011102
WJul 8 · 17:45T. Molin47511119113J. Volny4411771182
WJul 6 · 21:15T. Molin531012119113J. Volny48121071182
LJul 6 · 19:10T. Molin4411911852J. Volny44411711113
WMar 14 · 09:10T. Molin45116116113J. Volny4261181162
LFeb 28 · 10:40T. Molin4041161182J. Volny44113118113
T. Molin10
LSep 27 · 15:45T. Molin3.406570L. Dzida1.301111113LSep 27 · 13:45T. Molin2.007118121A. Cizek1.7311911143WSep 25 · 17:15T. Molin1.5711129113L. Kantor2.258101181WSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141WSep 25 · 14:45L. Kantor2.202790T. Molin1.611111113WSep 25 · 14:15V. Konvicka2.1066111172T. Molin1.67111198113WSep 20 · 13:20T. Molin1.3011811113J. Volny3.40711581LSep 20 · 11:40V. Konvicka1.8313118113T. Molin1.831131181WSep 20 · 11:10T. Lysek1.917570T. Molin1.801111113WSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760
J. Volny10
WSep 27 · 14:15L. Dzida1.4011912782J. Volny2.759111011113LSep 26 · 12:46T. Lysek1.3313811133J. Volny3.2511119111LSep 26 · 12:15T. Lysek1.7311712113J. Volny2.009111091LSep 26 · 11:15J. Volny2.255580P. Vinansky1.571111113LSep 26 · 09:45A. Cizek1.7391112153J. Volny2.0011310131LSep 20 · 13:20T. Molin1.3011811113J. Volny3.40711581WSep 20 · 12:10J. Volny1.6711121112123T. Lysek2.10614914102WSep 20 · 10:40V. Konvicka1.807780J. Volny1.911111113LSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760WSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133
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