TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Krupnik vs Bruno Mrowetz 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 26–19 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 19 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Krupnik beat Mrowetz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 2.10 / Mrowetz 1.666
TT Cup · #13227033
Krupnik2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 100 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Mrowetz1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 56 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik5wins
AwayMrowetz5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik66.7%2 of 3
AwayMrowetz57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik3Mrowetz7n = 10Mrowetz took 7 of 10
S2Krupnik7Mrowetz3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S3Krupnik5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly
S4Krupnik2Mrowetz6n = 8Mrowetz took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikMrowetzK − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.1−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 934 vs 261 / 51851.9%50.4%485 / 934 vs 261 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzKrupnik 2.10/Mrowetz 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 07:40J. Krupnik4181111113B. Mrowetz28114851
WSep 28 · 17:15J. Krupnik531011118133B. Mrowetz44123711112
LSep 28 · 14:15J. Krupnik31311981B. Mrowetz3911611113
LSep 23 · 13:08J. Krupnik2471160B. Mrowetz351113113
WSep 23 · 12:15J. Krupnik331111113B. Mrowetz185850
LSep 21 · 17:08J. Krupnik27351181B. Mrowetz4111118113
WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik501111116113B. Mrowetz5013991182
LSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik27116641B. Mrowetz4291111113
WSep 1 · 06:45J. Krupnik4011117113B. Mrowetz37981191
LAug 12 · 11:40J. Krupnik29811371B. Mrowetz3711411113
J. Krupnik10
WOct 1 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.80114851J. Krupnik1.9181111113WOct 1 · 07:10E. Precek2.2011611121J. Krupnik1.6131113143LOct 1 · 06:10J. Krupnik1.8399111182R. Benes1.83111197113WSep 28 · 20:48J. Krupnik1.501616113D. Velky Jr2.50141450LSep 28 · 19:45J. Gembala1.671111163J. Krupnik2.1097140WSep 28 · 19:15D. Velky Jr2.259990J. Krupnik1.571111113WSep 28 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.8351111113L. Slavik1.83116951WSep 28 · 17:15B. Mrowetz1.73123711112J. Krupnik2.001011118133WSep 28 · 16:15J. Krupnik1.501111113L. Kantor2.508960WSep 28 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.738111081J. Krupnik2.0011612113
B. Mrowetz10
LOct 1 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.80114851J. Krupnik1.9181111113WOct 1 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.6711911113R. Benes2.10611771WOct 1 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.731211119113E. Precek2.00107131192LSep 28 · 17:15B. Mrowetz1.73123711112J. Krupnik2.001011118133LSep 28 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.837181111133B. Mrowetz1.83112058112WSep 28 · 15:15L. Kantor2.5012750B. Mrowetz1.501411113WSep 28 · 14:15B. Mrowetz1.7311611113J. Krupnik2.00311981LSep 28 · 12:39L. Dzida1.50145115113B. Mrowetz2.50121181132LSep 28 · 11:40B. Mrowetz1.531312651L. Dzida2.38111411113LSep 28 · 10:40B. Mrowetz1.5311119131R. Benes2.3871311153
Upcoming Matches
J. Krupnik
Nothing scheduled
B. Mrowetz
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