TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Krupnik vs Lukas Slavik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511116119115––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 8–5 Lukas Slavik Lukas Slavik has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:58What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Krupnik
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1650 vs Slavik 1647
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Slavik 80%
Slavik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 40% vs Slavik 70%
Slavik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +3 · Slavik +2
Krupnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.83 / Slavik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13210293
Krupnik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Slavik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 27)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik6wins
AwaySlavik4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik100%4 of 4
AwaySlavik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik4Slavik6n = 10Slavik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik7Slavik3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S3Krupnik4Slavik6n = 10Slavik took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik5Slavik2n = 7Krupnik took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikSlavikK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.1+3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 928 vs 124 / 23751.8%52.3%481 / 928 vs 124 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.83/Slavik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 18:15J. Krupnik3851111113L. Slavik31116951
LSep 25 · 09:09J. Krupnik376912101L. Slavik44111110123
LSep 25 · 07:40J. Krupnik507111011112L. Slavik52118128133
WSep 23 · 10:45J. Krupnik4211118123L. Slavik345811101
WJul 12 · 19:40J. Krupnik341112113L. Slavik2781090
WJul 3 · 21:10J. Krupnik4211119113L. Slavik29671151
WJul 3 · 18:10J. Krupnik516111112113L. Slavik4511921492
WJun 15 · 12:10J. Krupnik3911116113L. Slavik21451111
LJun 15 · 05:40J. Krupnik2587100L. Slavik341111123
LJun 11 · 07:45J. Krupnik2679100L. Slavik341111123
J. Krupnik10
WSep 28 · 17:15B. Mrowetz1.73123711112J. Krupnik2.001011118133WSep 28 · 16:15J. Krupnik1.501111113L. Kantor2.508960WSep 28 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.738111081J. Krupnik2.0011612113LSep 28 · 14:15B. Mrowetz1.7311611113J. Krupnik2.00311981LSep 27 · 12:38J. Krupnik1.6757110A. Veliiev2.101111133LSep 27 · 11:40F. Chaloupka1.7311117113J. Krupnik2.00891171LSep 27 · 11:10J. Travnicek1.9111138113J. Krupnik1.806111181WSep 27 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.61751111113A. Veliiev2.2011114472LSep 25 · 09:09L. Slavik2.10111110123J. Krupnik1.676912101LSep 25 · 07:40L. Slavik2.25118128133J. Krupnik1.577111011112
L. Slavik10
WSep 28 · 18:45J. Gembala1.737114121L. Slavik2.0011911143WSep 27 · 17:09F. Chaloupka1.731271251L. Slavik2.00101114113WSep 27 · 16:10D. Velky Jr2.201111061L. Slavik1.6111712113LSep 27 · 15:10L. Slavik2.251181111102F. Chaloupka1.57131197123WSep 27 · 13:40J. Skvrna1.675111151L. Slavik2.1011613113WSep 25 · 09:09L. Slavik2.10111110123J. Krupnik1.676912101WSep 25 · 07:40L. Slavik2.25118128133J. Krupnik1.577111011112WSep 25 · 06:40L. Slavik1.5361111113D. Pawlik2.38118991LSep 25 · 05:40L. Slavik1.57111041192E. Precek2.25812114113LSep 23 · 12:40L. Slavik2.20910111552J. Skvrna1.611112813113
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