TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Frantisek Chaloupka vs Lukas Slavik 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12107111214511––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 82 set 4, 5-11
82 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 3–1 Lukas Slavik Lukas Slavik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Chaloupka beat Slavik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.73 / Slavik 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13207476
Chaloupka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 98 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Slavik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 35 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChaloupka3wins
AwaySlavik1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderChaloupka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlavikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka3Slavik1n = 4Chaloupka took 3 of 4
S2Chaloupka3Slavik1n = 4Chaloupka took 3 of 4
S3Chaloupka2Slavik2n = 4split evenly
S4Chaloupka1Slavik2n = 3Slavik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSlavikC − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.834.5+6.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 547 vs 123 / 23652.5%52.1%287 / 547 vs 123 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.73/Slavik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 27 · 15:10F. Chaloupka52131197123L. Slavik511181111102
WJul 11 · 12:15F. Chaloupka331111113L. Slavik164660
LJun 14 · 17:15F. Chaloupka411312791L. Slavik47111411113
WJun 14 · 16:15F. Chaloupka3741111113L. Slavik24115621
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 27 · 15:40J. Skvrna1.6174110F. Chaloupka2.201111133WSep 27 · 15:10L. Slavik2.251181111102F. Chaloupka1.57131197123LSep 27 · 14:10F. Chaloupka1.57871161D. Jr2.2511117113WSep 27 · 13:09J. Travnicek2.001165121F. Chaloupka1.7371111143WSep 27 · 11:40F. Chaloupka1.7311117113J. Krupnik2.00891171WSep 27 · 10:40F. Chaloupka1.7311127133A. Veliiev2.0041011111LSep 27 · 09:40F. Chaloupka1.577101171J. Travnicek2.2511129113LSep 22 · 16:55F. Chaloupka2.20118491B. Moravec1.6191111113LSep 22 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.61111176113F. Chaloupka2.2068111192LSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113
L. Slavik10
WSep 27 · 16:10D. Jr2.201111061L. Slavik1.6111712113LSep 27 · 15:10L. Slavik2.251181111102F. Chaloupka1.57131197123WSep 27 · 13:40J. Skvrna1.675111151L. Slavik2.1011613113WSep 25 · 09:09L. Slavik2.10111110123J. Krupnik1.676912101WSep 25 · 07:40L. Slavik2.25118128133J. Krupnik1.577111011112WSep 25 · 06:40L. Slavik1.5361111113D. Pawlik2.38118991LSep 25 · 05:40L. Slavik1.57111041192E. Precek2.25812114113LSep 23 · 12:40L. Slavik2.20910111552J. Skvrna1.611112813113WSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik2.251281211113J. Skvrna1.57101114892LSep 23 · 10:45L. Slavik2.005811101J. Krupnik1.7311118123
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