TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Krupnik vs Anton Veliiev 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111113––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Anton Veliiev below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 58 set 3, 11-13
58 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 4–2 Anton Veliiev Anton Veliiev has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.67 / Veliiev 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Krupnik)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13206376
Krupnik1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 133 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it92% 59 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it73% 94 of 128
Veliiev2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKrupnik4wins
AwayVeliiev2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderKrupnik leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik1Veliiev5n = 6Veliiev took 5 of 6
S2Krupnik3Veliiev3n = 6split evenly
S3Krupnik4Veliiev2n = 6Krupnik took 4 of 6
S4Krupnik2Veliiev2n = 4split evenly
S5Krupnik3Veliiev0n = 3Krupnik took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKrupnikVeliievK − VBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match39.236.3+2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 923 vs 140 / 23751.7%59.1%477 / 923 vs 140 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.67/Veliiev 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 27 · 10:10J. Krupnik45751111113A. Veliiev3711114472
LApr 4 · 09:25J. Krupnik341071161A. Veliiev4212118113
WApr 4 · 08:10J. Krupnik551311119113A. Veliiev4615691152
WApr 2 · 16:15J. Krupnik341211113A. Veliiev1610240
WMar 30 · 08:45J. Krupnik48611911113A. Veliiev4411811592
LMar 30 · 06:10J. Krupnik196940A. Veliiev331111113
J. Krupnik10
LSep 27 · 11:40F. Chaloupka1.7311117113J. Krupnik2.00891171LSep 27 · 11:10J. Travnicek1.9111138113J. Krupnik1.806111181WSep 27 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.61751111113A. Veliiev2.2011114472LSep 25 · 09:09L. Slavik2.10111110123J. Krupnik1.676912101LSep 25 · 07:40L. Slavik2.25118128133J. Krupnik1.577111011112WSep 25 · 07:10E. Precek2.207116101J. Krupnik1.6111711123WSep 25 · 06:10J. Krupnik1.6111118113D. Pawlik2.20451181WSep 24 · 08:45J. Krupnik1.5010111111113D. Pawlik2.5012138882LSep 24 · 07:45J. Skvrna1.676111211113J. Krupnik2.1011914142LSep 24 · 07:15I. Heuman2.20117117113J. Krupnik1.6181141122
A. Veliiev10
WSep 27 · 12:10A. Veliiev2.251111113J. Travnicek1.577750LSep 27 · 10:40F. Chaloupka1.7311127133A. Veliiev2.0041011111LSep 27 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.61751111113A. Veliiev2.2011114472WSep 27 · 09:10A. Veliiev2.001711113D. Stusek1.7315360WSep 27 · 08:10A. Veliiev2.001411113A. Kanak1.7312480WSep 27 · 06:40J. Skalicky1.53951171A. Veliiev2.3811119113WSep 27 · 06:10D. Stusek1.611191081A. Veliiev2.2091112113LSep 26 · 08:44A. Veliiev1.834870J. Skalicky1.831111113WSep 26 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.67119111172A. Veliiev2.10131159113LSep 26 · 07:15J. Travnicek1.7311811113A. Veliiev2.00911881
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