TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viacheslav Yarovyi vs Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115117911811511
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Khyzhnyak to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 89 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Volodymyr Khyzhnyak at 60.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 4–8 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Viacheslav Yarovyi has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5760.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Khyzhnyak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Khyzhnyak
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 988 vs Khyzhnyak 1167
Khyzhnyak
Correct
both rated, 180 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 60% vs Khyzhnyak 80%
Khyzhnyak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 40% vs Khyzhnyak 70%
Khyzhnyak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi +1 · Khyzhnyak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Khyzhnyak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 2.25 / Khyzhnyak 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Khyzhnyak)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13239994
Yarovyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 16 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Khyzhnyak1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 17 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYarovyi4wins
AwayKhyzhnyak6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYarovyi75%3 of 4
AwayKhyzhnyak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yarovyi4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S2Yarovyi6Khyzhnyak4n = 10Yarovyi took 6 of 10
S3Yarovyi5Khyzhnyak5n = 10split evenly
S4Yarovyi3Khyzhnyak5n = 8Khyzhnyak took 5 of 8
S5Yarovyi2Khyzhnyak3n = 5Khyzhnyak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYarovyiKhyzhnyakY − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.739.6+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 109 vs 66 / 18228.4%36.3%31 / 109 vs 66 / 182Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.634.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KhyzhnyakYarovyi 2.25/Khyzhnyak 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Khyzhnyak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 09:59V. Yarovyi399119101V. Khyzhnyak3911511123
WAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi517111111113V. Khyzhnyak3811391322
LJul 27 · 09:30V. Yarovyi49811111182V. Khyzhnyak46118133113
LJun 9 · 09:00V. Yarovyi2575130V. Khyzhnyak371111153
LMay 25 · 09:58V. Yarovyi42411115112V. Khyzhnyak51117911133
WMay 25 · 06:00V. Yarovyi5311111010113V. Khyzhnyak4889121272
LApr 28 · 10:04V. Yarovyi391091191V. Khyzhnyak4112117113
WApr 28 · 06:00V. Yarovyi3913411113V. Khyzhnyak301111261
WApr 10 · 05:00V. Yarovyi341111123V. Khyzhnyak2147100
LJun 9 · 15:30V. Yarovyi46114111192V. Khyzhnyak45111139113
V. Yarovyi10
WOct 4 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.3396100V. Yarovyi3.251111123WOct 4 · 06:30V. Yarovyi1.83731111113O. Badanin1.8311115982LOct 4 · 05:00V. Yarovyi2.0011116762S. Zherykhin1.73871111113LOct 3 · 17:39A. Danylov1.57371111113V. Yarovyi2.2511119572WOct 3 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.381161411113S. Zherykhin1.53131112892WOct 3 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.2511911113R. Sveshnykov1.57311791LOct 3 · 14:00V. Yarovyi2.63114841A. Danylov1.449111183LOct 3 · 13:00V. Yarovyi6.5055100V. Saakian1.101111123LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113
V. Khyzhnyak10
WOct 4 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.201111113S. Zherykhin1.614540LOct 4 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov1.361111109113V. Khyzhnyak3.0056121122WOct 4 · 05:30O. Badanin1.5011781192V. Khyzhnyak2.50911114113WOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113WOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.0011211282V. Khyzhnyak1.73711811113WOct 1 · 07:00V. Matviichuk1.53651151V. Khyzhnyak2.3811116113LOct 1 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.20111110113V. Khyzhnyak4.33851261WSep 28 · 10:33V. Khyzhnyak4.70115116133S. Honcharenko1.15811511112LSep 28 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507490
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