TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak vs Stanislav Zherykhin 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115114––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 46 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 1–3 Stanislav Zherykhin Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:4954.0%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 7.9pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zherykhin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Zherykhin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1173 vs Zherykhin 1042
Khyzhnyak
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 80% vs Zherykhin 40%
Khyzhnyak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 70% vs Zherykhin 20%
Khyzhnyak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak +1 · Zherykhin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Zherykhin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 2.20 / Zherykhin 1.615
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zherykhin)-7.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240112
Khyzhnyak2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back8% 4 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Zherykhin1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak1wins
AwayZherykhin3wins
Zherykhin leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZherykhin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak1Zherykhin3n = 4Zherykhin took 3 of 4
S2Khyzhnyak2Zherykhin2n = 4split evenly
S3Khyzhnyak0Zherykhin4n = 4Zherykhin took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakZherykhinK − ZBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match28.236.8−8.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 183 vs 35 / 10336.6%34%67 / 183 vs 35 / 103Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match34.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinKhyzhnyak 2.20/Zherykhin 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 15:00V. Khyzhnyak4114115113S. Zherykhin401281191
LSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak199280S. Zherykhin331111113
LSep 10 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak31611861S. Zherykhin4011711113
LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak2261060S. Zherykhin341112113
V. Khyzhnyak10
WOct 4 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.2511119852V. Khyzhnyak1.57571111113LOct 4 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov1.361111109113V. Khyzhnyak3.0056121122WOct 4 · 05:30O. Badanin1.5011781192V. Khyzhnyak2.50911114113WOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113WOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.0011211282V. Khyzhnyak1.73711811113WOct 1 · 07:00V. Matviichuk1.53651151V. Khyzhnyak2.3811116113LOct 1 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.20111110113V. Khyzhnyak4.33851261WSep 28 · 10:33V. Khyzhnyak4.70115116133S. Honcharenko1.15811511112LSep 28 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507490
S. Zherykhin10
LOct 4 · 07:30O. Badanin1.537101111113S. Zherykhin2.3811124472WOct 4 · 06:00R. Sveshnykov1.1391151872S. Zherykhin5.501141116113WOct 4 · 05:00V. Yarovyi2.0011116762S. Zherykhin1.73871111113LOct 3 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.381161411113S. Zherykhin1.53131112892LOct 3 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8011811652A. Danylov1.9191181193LOct 3 · 13:30S. Zherykhin5.00561191R. Sveshnykov1.1411117113LOct 3 · 12:00S. Zherykhin4.5091111592V. Saakian1.17119711113LOct 2 · 16:30S. Zherykhin2.25611751O. Levytskyi1.5711911113LOct 2 · 15:30S. Zherykhin5.50149491R. Sveshnykov1.13121111113LOct 2 · 14:00S. Zherykhin1.53861171A. Danylov2.3811118113
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