TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Dawid Dytko 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511118411511––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched: 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeDawid Dytko to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
511118411511––
H2H Kamil Kowalski 0–1 Dawid Dytko Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:1173.8%Our read70.4%to break even at 1.42
clears by 3.4pp70.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.42 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Dytko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1048 vs Dytko 1339
Dytko
Correct
both rated, 291 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 0% vs Dytko 60%
Dytko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 10% vs Dytko 40%
Dytko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski -5 · Dytko -1
Kowalski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Dytko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dytko form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 2.60 / Dytko 1.42
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Dytko)+3.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13238101
Kowalski2.60
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 03)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog17% won 30 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back5% 6 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 77
Dytko1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKowalski0wins
AwayDytko1wins
Dytko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKowalskiDytkoK − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.041.0−16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiDytkoBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 181 vs 159 / 28816.6%55.2%30 / 181 vs 159 / 288Avg sets wonper match1.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DytkoKowalski 2.60/Dytko 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.8%
Dytko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dytko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 4 · 18:20K. Kowalski25511451D. Dytko4111811113
K. Kowalski10
LOct 3 · 05:05K. Kowalski6.00811961H. Tkaczyk1.1111411113LOct 3 · 03:30K. Kowalski3.258770R. Wiza1.301111113LOct 3 · 02:20K. Kowalski2.158250J. Michalski1.601111113LOct 3 · 00:45K. Kowalski3.1510790D. Fira1.301211113LOct 2 · 23:30K. Kowalski3.604790A. Ruszkiewicz1.261111113WOct 2 · 20:30K. Kowalski2.63116711113L. Oracz1.4491111692LOct 2 · 18:55K. Kowalski4.00551251K. Juszczyk1.22111110113LOct 2 · 17:45K. Kowalski3.001031191J. Nowak1.3612113113LOct 2 · 16:15K. Kowalski3.408870O. Vincenec1.301111113LOct 2 · 15:00K. Kowalski3.254111181M. Baron1.3311137113
D. Dytko10
LOct 4 · 19:10D. Dytko2.109920W. Urban1.661111113LSep 29 · 04:40D. Dytko1.8399110O. Sokolowski1.871111133WSep 29 · 03:05L. Oracz1.758760D. Dytko1.901111113LSep 29 · 01:50M. Adamus1.9512811113D. Dytko1.771011591WSep 29 · 01:10D. Dytko2.051111810113K. Adamus1.7079111292WSep 29 · 00:10D. Dytko2.651111113J. Pruszkowski1.424570LSep 28 · 22:40D. Dytko1.90114111062O. Sokolowski1.80911712113LSep 28 · 21:05L. Oracz1.711111113D. Dytko2.004780LSep 28 · 20:20J. Pruszkowski1.68811811113D. Dytko2.0811611592LSep 28 · 19:30D. Dytko1.7599100K. Adamus1.951111123
Upcoming Matches
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