TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Damian Fira 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711911––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:41 and never touched: 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeDamian Fira to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1012711911––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:4173.1%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 3.8pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Fira
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1081 vs Fira 1376
Fira
Correct
both rated, 295 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 20% vs Fira 80%
Fira
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 20% vs Fira 90%
Fira
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski -1 · Fira -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Fira) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalski form (20%) is below what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 3.15 / Fira 1.30
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Fira)-3.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13233562
Kowalski3.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog18% won 29 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back6% 6 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 69
Fira1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 54 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it76% 41 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiFiraBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 176 vs 221 / 49417.1%44.7%30 / 176 vs 221 / 494Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
FiraKowalski 3.15/Fira 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Fira · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fira won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Kowalski10
LOct 2 · 23:30K. Kowalski3.604790A. Ruszkiewicz1.261111113WOct 2 · 20:30K. Kowalski2.63116711113L. Oracz1.4491111692LOct 2 · 18:55K. Kowalski4.00551251K. Juszczyk1.22111110113LOct 2 · 17:45K. Kowalski3.001031191J. Nowak1.3612113113LOct 2 · 16:15K. Kowalski3.408870O. Vincenec1.301111113LOct 2 · 15:00K. Kowalski3.254111181M. Baron1.3311137113WSep 30 · 14:20K. Kowalski5.5011115113P. Brozek1.13471141LSep 30 · 12:40K. Adamus1.221411113K. Kowalski4.0012690LSep 30 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1716136113K. Kowalski4.5014111191LSep 30 · 11:00K. Kowalski6.501061181O. Jadach1.1012116113
D. Fira10
LOct 3 · 01:55D. Fira2.30711491A. Ruszkiewicz1.5511911113LOct 2 · 23:55D. Fira—5470H. Tkaczyk—1111113WOct 2 · 22:40D. Fira1.55111199113W. Jozala2.2594111172WOct 2 · 21:50D. Fira1.4981111113J. Michalski2.46115971WOct 2 · 20:55D. Fira2.0561111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.68116571WOct 2 · 20:05R. Wiza1.78118331D. Fira1.9381111113WOct 2 · 17:55D. Fira2.851112113H. Tkaczyk1.3661090WSep 27 · 04:20D. Fira1.8011311113R. Wiza1.85911891WSep 27 · 03:05D. Fira2.95111168113R. Szymik1.3595111162WSep 27 · 01:55D. Fira1.477111011113J. Michalski2.4011712882
Upcoming Matches
K. Kowalski
D. Fira
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.