TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Oskar Jadach 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611116811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched: 88.3% is still 88.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
88.3%
88.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kowalski above · Oskar Jadach below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Oskar Jadach at 88.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kowalski 0–1 Oskar Jadach Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5688.3%Our read90.9%to break even at 1.10
short by 2.6pp90.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.10 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1079 vs Jadach 1398
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 319 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 0% vs Jadach 40%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 20% vs Jadach 60%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski -5 · Jadach -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% · Strong (leans Jadach) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (40%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 6.50 / Jadach 1.10
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Jadach)-2.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13220268
Kowalski6.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog18% won 28 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back6% 6 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 64
Jadach1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 348 of 513
Up 2–0, closes it94% 166 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it85% 243 of 286
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKowalski0wins
AwayJadach1wins
Jadach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKowalskiJadachK − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match31.044.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 166 vs 785 / 131416.9%59.7%28 / 166 vs 785 / 1314Avg sets wonper match1.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match32.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JadachKowalski 6.50/Jadach 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 30 · 04:55K. Kowalski31138281O. Jadach44111111113
K. Kowalski10
LSep 30 · 09:50K. Kowalski3.007450I. Szymanski1.361111113LSep 30 · 08:10K. Kowalski3.405101112142P. Brozek1.301112610163LSep 30 · 06:30K. Adamus1.221110811113K. Kowalski4.0081211522LSep 30 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.3611811113K. Kowalski3.00611481LSep 30 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.50138281O. Jadach1.28111111113WSep 30 · 03:50K. Kowalski5.0011116113P. Przewlocki1.14751171WSep 29 · 14:20K. Kowalski3.401111113R. Idaczyk1.308880LSep 29 · 12:40R. Gajda1.5311116113K. Kowalski2.38681191LSep 29 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1711711113K. Kowalski4.50811771LSep 29 · 11:00K. Kowalski4.00119612102K. Schaniel1.227111110123
O. Jadach10
LSep 30 · 09:25K. Adamus2.10119118163O. Jadach1.67811511142LSep 30 · 08:35I. Szymanski4.5011115143O. Jadach1.179611121LSep 30 · 07:20O. Jadach1.83101161172P. Brozek1.83126115113WSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.20101490O. Jadach1.611216113WSep 30 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.50138281O. Jadach1.28111111113LSep 30 · 03:25K. Adamus1.8391111113O. Jadach1.83117991WSep 29 · 16:20S. Juzek2.908830O. Jadach1.351111113WSep 29 · 15:30O. Vincenec3.00312100O. Jadach1.351114123WSep 29 · 14:45O. Jadach1.5781111113W. Ptak2.25116991WSep 29 · 13:10O. Jadach1.5711118113M. Baron2.25691191
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