TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Krzysztof Schaniel 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11791161112101012
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kowalski above · Krzysztof Schaniel below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 79.4%
99 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kowalski 0–1 Krzysztof Schaniel Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1077 vs Schaniel 1273
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 20% vs Schaniel 80%
Schaniel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 20% vs Schaniel 50%
Schaniel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski -3 · Schaniel +2
Kowalski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Schaniel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 4.00 / Schaniel 1.22
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13214810
Kowalski4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog18% won 25 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back6% 5 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 61
Schaniel1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 186 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it89% 91 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it74% 140 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKowalski0wins
AwaySchaniel1wins
Schaniel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKowalskiSchanielK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.037.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 156 vs 858 / 173316.7%49.5%26 / 156 vs 858 / 1733Avg sets wonper match1.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielKowalski 4.00/Schaniel 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 29 · 04:55K. Kowalski25271151K. Schaniel3711114113
K. Kowalski10
LSep 29 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1711711113K. Kowalski4.50811771LSep 29 · 09:50K. Kowalski2.759870I. Szymanski1.401111113LSep 29 · 08:10K. Kowalski3.751384111R. Idaczyk1.25111111133LSep 29 · 06:30R. Gajda1.4012911113K. Kowalski2.751011491WSep 29 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.331187101K. Kowalski3.2591111123LSep 29 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.25271151K. Schaniel1.3311114113WSep 29 · 03:50K. Kowalski5.001111113P. Przewlocki1.146450LSep 22 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.101111113K. Kowalski4.502450LSep 22 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.371111113K. Kowalski2.874430LSep 22 · 18:25K. Kowalski4.507590P. Kurek1.101111113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 29 · 09:25R. Gajda1.8011119952K. Schaniel1.91581111113WSep 29 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.75115991K. Schaniel1.4071111113LSep 29 · 07:20K. Schaniel1.73911101172R. Idaczyk2.00119126113WSep 29 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.1013138892K. Schaniel1.6711111111113WSep 29 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.25271151K. Schaniel1.3311114113LSep 29 · 03:25R. Gajda1.731111113K. Schaniel2.007660LSep 25 · 16:40K. Schaniel1.37115111042I. Szymanski2.80511712113LSep 25 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.5011116113K. Schaniel2.40771171WSep 25 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.52119871K. Schaniel2.3981111113LSep 25 · 13:30K. Schaniel1.5411712542M. Cesarz2.359111011113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kowalski
Sep 29 · 12:40K. Kowalski2.50R. Gajda1.50—Sep 29 · 14:20K. Kowalski3.00R. Idaczyk1.36—Sep 30 · 03:50K. Kowalski4.50P. Przewlocki1.17—Sep 30 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.50O. Jadach1.28—Sep 30 · 05:40K. Kowalski3.00I. Szymanski1.36—Sep 30 · 06:30K. Kowalski3.40K. Adamus1.30—Sep 30 · 08:10K. Kowalski3.40P. Brozek1.30—Sep 30 · 09:50K. Kowalski3.25I. Szymanski1.33—Sep 30 · 11:50K. Kowalski4.50P. Przewlocki1.17—
K. Schaniel
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