TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marek Tkocz vs Kamil Kowalski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112114115––––
Kamil Kowalski
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched — 83.2% is still 83.2%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
83.2%
83.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
44 points played in total.
Set by set
112114115––––
H2H Marek Tkocz 1–0 Kamil Kowalski Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (80%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1420 vs Kowalski 1069
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 351 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 100% vs Kowalski 0%
Tkocz
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 60% vs Kowalski 20%
Tkocz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +5 · Kowalski -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Tkocz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalski form (0%) is below what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.10 / Kowalski 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Tkocz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13179967
Tkocz1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 288 of 431
Up 2–0, closes it95% 161 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it85% 236 of 279
Kowalski4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog17% won 23 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back6% 5 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTkocz1wins
AwayKowalski0wins
Tkocz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTkoczKowalskiT − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.030.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczKowalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime781 / 1177 vs 24 / 14966.4%16.1%781 / 1177 vs 24 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.41.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.032.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.10/Kowalski 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.2%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 16 · 24:25M. Tkocz4171111123K. Kowalski301145101
M. Tkocz10
WSep 22 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.57611611113R. Gajda2.2011611942WSep 22 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.7511911113P. Kaczynski1.95611881WSep 22 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.659550M. Tkocz1.401111113WSep 22 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.651161112113P. Kurek2.0541171472WSep 18 · 02:20M. Adamus2.45661161M. Tkocz1.4411118113LSep 18 · 01:35P. Polok1.731111123M. Tkocz1.9255100LSep 17 · 23:35M. Koczyba1.8511411113M. Tkocz1.85711981LSep 17 · 22:50G. Jurowicz2.50111211113M. Tkocz1.45714451LSep 17 · 21:10M. Lebek2.001171110113M. Tkocz1.7151161272WSep 17 · 20:20W. Pytlas2.191161110102M. Tkocz1.56611612123
K. Kowalski10
LSep 22 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.371111113K. Kowalski2.874430LSep 22 · 18:25K. Kowalski4.507590P. Kurek1.101111113LSep 22 · 16:50K. Kowalski4.5011411762P. Kaczynski1.15911511113LSep 22 · 16:00R. Gajda1.298111213123K. Kowalski3.301161015102LSep 22 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.311111143K. Kowalski3.2067120LSep 22 · 07:10I. Szymanski1.6371111113K. Kowalski2.15118781WSep 22 · 06:25K. Kowalski3.7511711113J. Kaczmarek1.22611891LSep 22 · 04:50K. Kowalski5.454770K. Hetnar1.061111113WSep 22 · 04:00R. Gajda1.2511914882K. Kowalski3.456111211113LSep 17 · 14:20K. Kowalski4.3313581182P. Gumulinski1.201111116113
Upcoming Matches
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K. Kowalski
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