Kamil Kowalski vs Rafal Idaczyk 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 29Finished

Kamil Kowalski

Home

3.75

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

13118114111113––

Rafal Idaczyk

Away

1.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:02 and never touched: 77.8% is still 77.8%

Graded at full time

Rafal Idaczyk to win

77.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKamil Kowalski above · Rafal Idaczyk below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 11-13

Point 82 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Rafal Idaczyk at 77.8%

82 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:02

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.25 (75%)

Idaczyk

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kowalski 1098 vs Idaczyk 1425

Idaczyk

Correct

both rated, 328 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kowalski 40% vs Idaczyk 80%

Idaczyk

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kowalski 20% vs Idaczyk 80%

Idaczyk

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kowalski -1 · Idaczyk +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Idaczyk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kowalski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKowalski 3.75 / Idaczyk 1.25

Signal prob.22% / 78%

Edge (Idaczyk)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13210326

Kowalski3.75

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog18% won 25 of 143

Down 0–1, comes back6% 5 of 89

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 61

Idaczyk1.25

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite63% won 116 of 185

Up 2–0, closes it96% 69 of 72

Up 1–0, closes it81% 94 of 116

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKowalskiIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 154 vs 482 / 96116.9%50.2%26 / 154 vs 482 / 961Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.735.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Idaczyk

Kowalski 3.75/Idaczyk 1.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

77.8%

Idaczyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Idaczyk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

K. Kowalski10