TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Piotr Przewlocki 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115611117––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:47 and never touched: 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Kowalski above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 85.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kowalski 2–6 Piotr Przewlocki Kamil Kowalski has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 16h before this match
Przewlocki beat Kowalski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:47What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1091 vs Przewlocki 1371
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 280 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 20% vs Przewlocki 80%
Przewlocki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 30% vs Przewlocki 70%
Przewlocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski +1 · Przewlocki +4
Przewlocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% · Strong (leans Przewlocki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 5.00 / Przewlocki 1.14
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Przewlocki)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13216144
Kowalski5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog18% won 25 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back6% 5 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 61
Przewlocki1.14
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 124 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 82 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKowalski2wins
AwayPrzewlocki6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalski50%2 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalski4Przewlocki4n = 8split evenly
S2Kowalski2Przewlocki6n = 8Przewlocki took 6 of 8
S3Kowalski3Przewlocki5n = 8Przewlocki took 5 of 8
S4Kowalski0Przewlocki4n = 4Przewlocki took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricKowalskiPrzewlockiK − PBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match32.935.2−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 160 vs 522 / 109516.9%47.7%27 / 160 vs 522 / 1095Avg sets wonper match1.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiKowalski 5.00/Przewlocki 1.14
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.8%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kowalski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 29 · 11:50K. Kowalski33811771P. Przewlocki4011711113
WSep 29 · 03:50K. Kowalski331111113P. Przewlocki156450
LAug 12 · 10:35K. Kowalski216870P. Przewlocki331111113
LAug 12 · 03:00K. Kowalski27116731P. Przewlocki4181111113
LAug 5 · 10:35K. Kowalski2991280P. Przewlocki361114113
WAug 5 · 03:00K. Kowalski45115117113P. Przewlocki3841171152
LAug 4 · 11:25K. Kowalski49111011892P. Przewlocki44712311113
LAug 4 · 05:15K. Kowalski2669110P. Przewlocki351111133
K. Kowalski10
WSep 29 · 14:20K. Kowalski3.401111113R. Idaczyk1.308880LSep 29 · 12:40R. Gajda1.5311116113K. Kowalski2.38681191LSep 29 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1711711113K. Kowalski4.50811771LSep 29 · 11:00K. Kowalski4.00119612102K. Schaniel1.227111110123LSep 29 · 09:50K. Kowalski2.759870I. Szymanski1.401111113LSep 29 · 08:10K. Kowalski3.751384111R. Idaczyk1.25111111133LSep 29 · 06:30R. Gajda1.4012911113K. Kowalski2.751011491WSep 29 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.331187101K. Kowalski3.2591111123LSep 29 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.25271151K. Schaniel1.3311114113WSep 29 · 03:50K. Kowalski5.001111113P. Przewlocki1.146450
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 30 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.631111113P. Brozek1.448980WSep 29 · 14:40P. Przewlocki1.8351111113K. Schaniel1.83115581WSep 29 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33101111123I. Szymanski3.251288101WSep 29 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1711711113K. Kowalski4.50811771WSep 29 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.9111122133R. Gajda1.8061011111LSep 29 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.10919531R. Idaczyk1.67111711113WSep 29 · 07:45R. Gajda2.1071391192P. Przewlocki1.671111117113WSep 29 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.2511951192P. Przewlocki1.33911116113LSep 29 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.1013138892K. Schaniel1.6711111111113LSep 29 · 03:50K. Kowalski5.001111113P. Przewlocki1.146450
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