TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Szymanski vs Oskar Jadach 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191165111412––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:34 and never touched: 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Oskar Jadach below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 79 set 4, 14-12 · our read held Oskar Jadach at 85.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–9 Oskar Jadach Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:3485.6%Our read85.8%to break even at 1.166
short by 0.2pp85.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.166 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1167 vs Jadach 1430
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 263 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 40% vs Jadach 60%
Jadach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 40% vs Jadach 80%
Jadach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -1 · Jadach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% · Strong (leans Jadach) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 4.50 / Jadach 1.166
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Jadach)-0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13216094
Szymanski4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog21% won 90 of 428
Down 0–1, comes back10% 30 of 288
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 207
Jadach1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 348 of 513
Up 2–0, closes it94% 166 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it85% 243 of 286
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayJadach9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJadach88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski1Jadach9n = 10Jadach took 9 of 10
S2Szymanski1Jadach9n = 10Jadach took 9 of 10
S3Szymanski1Jadach9n = 10Jadach took 9 of 10
S4Szymanski2Jadach1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiJadachS − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.437.8−9.4per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 474 vs 785 / 131223.8%59.8%113 / 474 vs 785 / 1312Avg sets wonper match1.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JadachSzymanski 4.50/Jadach 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.6%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 13:05I. Szymanski185940O. Jadach331111113
LSep 24 · 06:55I. Szymanski4611981172O. Jadach45511117113
WSep 15 · 00:10I. Szymanski53613914113O. Jadach521111111272
LSep 14 · 20:20I. Szymanski157620O. Jadach331111113
LSep 1 · 23:45I. Szymanski186750O. Jadach331111113
LSep 1 · 15:50I. Szymanski203980O. Jadach331111113
LAug 25 · 05:35I. Szymanski4211912101O. Jadach46131110123
LAug 23 · 17:05I. Szymanski203980O. Jadach331111113
LJul 10 · 11:30I. Szymanski3091290O. Jadach361114113
LJul 10 · 07:10I. Szymanski2248100O. Jadach341111123
I. Szymanski10
LSep 30 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.40121111692P. Przewlocki1.301013411113WSep 30 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.3611811113K. Kowalski3.00611481LSep 30 · 04:10I. Szymanski6.001051141K. Adamus1.1112119113LSep 30 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.507780P. Brozek1.171111113WSep 29 · 13:55R. Gajda1.1461090I. Szymanski5.001112113LSep 29 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33101111123I. Szymanski3.251288101LSep 29 · 12:15I. Szymanski2.6351111482K. Schaniel1.44117711113WSep 29 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.331111113R. Idaczyk1.209580WSep 29 · 09:50K. Kowalski2.759870I. Szymanski1.401111113LSep 29 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.75115991K. Schaniel1.4071111113
O. Jadach10
LSep 30 · 07:20O. Jadach1.83101161172P. Brozek1.83126115113WSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.20101490O. Jadach1.611216113WSep 30 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.50138281O. Jadach1.28111111113LSep 30 · 03:25K. Adamus1.8391111113O. Jadach1.83117991WSep 29 · 16:20S. Juzek2.908830O. Jadach1.351111113WSep 29 · 15:30O. Vincenec3.00312100O. Jadach1.351114123WSep 29 · 14:45O. Jadach1.5781111113W. Ptak2.25116991WSep 29 · 13:10O. Jadach1.5711118113M. Baron2.25691191WSep 29 · 12:20P. Polok1.804980O. Jadach1.901111113WSep 29 · 11:05O. Jadach1.801111113W. Ptak1.856270
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